Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Macclesfield Town win with a probability of 51.12%. A win for Hereford United had a probability of 25.93% and a draw had a probability of 22.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Macclesfield Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.29%) and 2-0 (7.36%). The likeliest Hereford United win was 1-2 (6.58%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.22%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.