Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Macclesfield Town win with a probability of 49.33%. A win for Chorley had a probability of 27.17% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Macclesfield Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.52%) and 2-0 (7.38%). The likeliest Chorley win was 1-2 (6.8%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.