Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Macclesfield Town win with a probability of 40.78%. A win for Scarborough Athletic had a probability of 32.79% and a draw had a probability of 26.43%.
The most likely scoreline for a Macclesfield Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.75%) and 0-2 (6.88%). The likeliest Scarborough Athletic win was 1-0 (8.9%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.