Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Worksop Town win with a probability of 47.3%. A win for Hereford United had a probability of 27.44% and a draw had a probability of 25.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Worksop Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.73%) and 2-0 (7.71%). The likeliest Hereford United win was 0-1 (6.97%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.