National League North Gameweek 29
Apr 14, 2026 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT Edgar Street Athletic Ground
  • George Munday 5' goal
  • goal M. Taylor 73'
  • goal Canice Carroll 87'

Hereford United vs Oxford City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Hereford United

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Apr 11, 2026 3.00pm
Bedford 2 - 2 Hereford
Goals scored
58
Top scorer
George Munday

Oxford City

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Apr 11, 2026 3.00pm
Alfreton 1 - 1 Oxford City
Goals scored
56
Top scorer
Ewan Clark

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hereford United win with a probability of 44.2%. A win for Oxford City had a probability of 29.89% and a draw had a probability of 25.86%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hereford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.52%) and 2-0 (7.28%). The likeliest Oxford City win was 0-1 (7.66%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.

Result

Hereford United 44.2% (-3.68)
Draw 25.86% (+0.65)
Oxford City 29.89% (+2.93)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.25% (-0.48)

Goals

Over 1.5 75.98% (-0.96)
Under 1.5 24.02% (+0.95)
Over 2.5 52.05% (-1.34)
Under 2.5 47.95% (+1.34)
Over 3.5 29.25% (-0.95)
Under 3.5 70.75% (+0.94)
Over 4.5 16.11% (-0.88)
Under 4.5 83.89% (+0.88)

First Half Winner

Hereford United 32.42% (-1.61)
Draw 41.42% (+0.25)
Oxford City 26.15% (+1.35)

Team To Score First

Hereford United 51.39% (-2.72)
No Goal 6.52% (+0.28)
Oxford City 42.09% (+2.45)

Corners

Over 8 56.84% (+0.11)
Equal 8 11.51% (+0.05)
Under 8 31.66% (-0.15)
Over 9 45.2% (+0.05)
Equal 9 11.64% (+0.07)
Under 9 43.16% (-0.11)
Over 10.5 34.39% (-0.01)
Under 10.5 65.61% (+0.02)

Hereford United Goals

Over 1.5 43.75% (-3.36)
Under 1.5 56.25% (+3.36)
Over 2.5 18.96% (-2.54)
Under 2.5 81.04% (+2.55)
Over 3.5 6.53% (-1.25)
Under 3.5 93.47% (+1.25)

Oxford City Goals

Over 0.5 66.13% (+2.18)
Under 0.5 33.87% (-2.18)
Over 1.5 32.25% (+2.02)
Under 1.5 67.75% (-2.02)
Over 2.5 11.56% (+1.08)
Under 2.5 88.44% (-1.08)
Over 3.5 3.42% (+0.42)
Under 3.5 96.58% (-0.43)

Score analysis

Hereford United 44.19%
Draw 25.86%
Oxford City 29.88%
Hereford United
1-0 @ 9.77% (-0.20)
2-1 @ 9.52% (-0.47)
2-0 @ 7.28% (-0.55)
3-1 @ 4.51% (-0.48)
3-0 @ 3.82% (-0.63)
3-2 @ 2.88% (-0.17)
Other @ 6.41% (-1.23)
Total : 44.19%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.19% (+0.36)
0-0 @ 6.52% (+0.28)
2-2 @ 5.81% (+0.06)
3-3 @ 1.22% (-0.04)
Other @ 0.12% (-0.03)
Total : 25.86%
Oxford City
0-1 @ 7.66% (+0.74)
1-2 @ 7.52% (+0.45)
0-2 @ 4.48% (+0.61)
1-3 @ 2.8% (+0.32)
2-3 @ 2.18% (+0.14)
0-3 @ 1.94% (+0.24)
Other @ 3.3% (+0.44)
Total : 29.88%

Head to Head

National League North
Nov 4, 2025 7.45pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT
National League North Gameweek 43
Apr 12, 2025 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 2 2
FT Court Place Farm
  • Jayden Carbon 14' goal
  • Jayden Carbon 14' goal
  • 40' yellowcard
  • 60' yellowcard
  • 65' yellowcard
  • 67' yellowcard
  • 89' yellowcard
  • 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard 2'
  • goal Yusifu Ceesay 21'
  • goal Yusifu Ceesay 21'
  • yellowcard 55'
  • goal Tate Campbell 61'
  • goal Tate Campbell 61'
  • yellowcard 79'
National League North Gameweek 16
Nov 5, 2024 7.45pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Edgar Street Athletic Ground
  • Alex Babos 39' yellowcard
  • Alex Babos 44' redcard
  • Yusifu Ceesay 56' yellowcard
  • Tate Campbell 74' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jayden Carbon 37'
  • yellowcard Jalen Jones 71'
  • goal Josh Ashby 88'
  • goal Josh Parker 90'+3'