National League North Gameweek 29
Jan 27, 2026 7.45pm
Edgar Street Athletic Ground

Hereford United vs Oxford City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Hereford United

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Jan 24, 2026 3.00pm
Hereford 0 - 0 Spennymoor
Goals scored
24
Top scorer
Andrew Williams

Oxford City

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Jan 24, 2026 3.00pm
Oxford City 0 - 0 Fylde
Goals scored
33
Top scorer
DJ Campton-Sturridge

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Hereford United win with a probability of 49.98%. A win for Oxford City has a probability of 26.13% and a draw has a probability of 23.88%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hereford United win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.62%) and 2-0 (8.66%). The likeliest Oxford City win is 0-1 (7.57%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.04%).

Result

Hereford United 49.98% (+2.45)
Draw 23.88% (-0.20)
Oxford City 26.13% (-2.27)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.85% (-1.94)

Goals

Over 1.5 74.93% (-1.43)
Under 1.5 25.07% (+1.43)
Over 2.5 51.39% (-1.83)
Under 2.5 48.61% (+1.83)
Over 3.5 28.48% (-1.93)
Under 3.5 71.52% (+1.93)
Over 4.5 16.49% (-0.96)
Under 4.5 83.51% (+0.96)

First Half Winner

Hereford United 39.75% (+1.23)
Draw 38.58% (-0.45)
Oxford City 21.67% (-0.78)

Team To Score First

Hereford United 56.68% (+0.65)
No Goal 6.94% (+0.52)
Oxford City 36.38% (-1.15)

Corners

Over 8 62.3%
Equal 8 10.96% (-0.06)
Under 8 26.74% (+0.05)
Over 9 50.74% (+0.09)
Equal 9 11.56% (-0.09)
Under 9 37.7%
Over 10.5 39.56% (+0.16)
Under 10.5 60.44% (-0.16)

Hereford United Goals

Over 1.5 47.08% (+0.49)
Under 1.5 52.92% (-0.49)
Over 2.5 22.1% (+0.78)
Under 2.5 77.9% (-0.77)
Over 3.5 8.84% (+0.44)
Under 3.5 91.16% (-0.44)

Oxford City Goals

Over 0.5 60.01% (-3.15)
Under 0.5 39.99% (+3.15)
Over 1.5 26.98% (-3.27)
Under 1.5 73.02% (+3.27)
Over 2.5 9.23% (-1.83)
Under 2.5 90.77% (+1.82)
Over 3.5 2.51% (-0.70)
Under 3.5 97.49% (+0.69)

Score analysis

Hereford United 49.97%
Draw 23.88%
Oxford City 26.13%
Hereford United
1-0 @ 10.54% (+0.85)
2-1 @ 9.62% (-0.05)
2-0 @ 8.66% (+0.67)
3-0 @ 5.03% (+0.62)
3-1 @ 4.8% (+0.09)
3-2 @ 2.52% (-0.23)
Other @ 8.8% (+0.49)
Total : 49.97%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.04% (+0.03)
0-0 @ 6.94% (+0.52)
2-2 @ 4.95% (-0.54)
Other @ 0.04% (-0.04)
Total : 23.88%
Oxford City
0-1 @ 7.57% (+0.06)
1-2 @ 6.43% (-0.41)
0-2 @ 3.85% (-0.28)
1-3 @ 2.24% (-0.54)
0-3 @ 1.82% (-0.08)
2-3 @ 1.75% (-0.38)
Other @ 2.47% (-0.65)
Total : 26.13%

Head to Head

National League North
Nov 4, 2025 7.45pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT
National League North Gameweek 43
Apr 12, 2025 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 2 2
FT Court Place Farm
  • Jayden Carbon 14' goal
  • Jayden Carbon 14' goal
  • 40' yellowcard
  • 60' yellowcard
  • 65' yellowcard
  • 67' yellowcard
  • 89' yellowcard
  • 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard 2'
  • goal Yusifu Ceesay 21'
  • goal Yusifu Ceesay 21'
  • yellowcard 55'
  • goal Tate Campbell 61'
  • goal Tate Campbell 61'
  • yellowcard 79'
National League North Gameweek 16
Nov 5, 2024 7.45pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Edgar Street Athletic Ground
  • Alex Babos 39' yellowcard
  • Alex Babos 44' redcard
  • Yusifu Ceesay 56' yellowcard
  • Tate Campbell 74' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jayden Carbon 37'
  • yellowcard Jalen Jones 71'
  • goal Josh Ashby 88'
  • goal Josh Parker 90'+3'