National League North Gameweek 41
Mar 28, 2026 3.00pm
Edgar Street Athletic Ground

Hereford United vs Buxton - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Hereford United

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Mar 24, 2026 7.45pm
Hereford 1 - 2 Spennymoor
Goals scored
47
Top scorer
George Munday

Buxton

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Mar 21, 2026 3.00pm
Buxton 3 - 0 Bedford
Goals scored
63
Top scorer
Johnny Johnston

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Buxton win with a probability of 43.26%. A win for Hereford United has a probability of 31.87% and a draw has a probability of 24.87%.

The most likely scoreline for a Buxton win is 1-2 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (8.54%) and 0-2 (6.55%). The likeliest Hereford United win is 2-1 (7.66%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.34%).

Result

Hereford United 31.87% (+0.14)
Draw 24.87%
Buxton 43.26% (-0.18)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.13%

Goals

Over 1.5 78.66% (-0.05)
Under 1.5 21.34% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 56.26% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 43.74% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 32.96% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 67.04% (-0.03)
Over 4.5 19.16% (+0.02)
Under 4.5 80.84% (-0.02)

First Half Winner

Hereford United 25.23% (+0.02)
Draw 40.13%
Buxton 34.64%

Team To Score First

Hereford United 42.3% (+0.08)
No Goal 5.81%
Buxton 51.89% (-0.08)

Corners

Over 8 61.43% (+0.12)
Equal 8 11.04% (-0.05)
Under 8 27.52% (-0.09)
Over 9 49.85% (+0.15)
Equal 9 11.58% (-0.03)
Under 9 38.57% (-0.12)
Over 10.5 38.71% (+0.18)
Under 10.5 61.29% (-0.18)

Hereford United Goals

Over 1.5 35.58% (+0.12)
Under 1.5 64.42% (-0.13)
Over 2.5 14.43% (+0.10)
Under 2.5 85.57% (-0.11)
Over 3.5 4.63% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 95.37% (-0.04)

Buxton Goals

Over 0.5 75.86% (-0.13)
Under 0.5 24.14% (+0.13)
Over 1.5 45.02% (-0.11)
Under 1.5 54.98% (+0.11)
Over 2.5 20.57% (-0.08)
Under 2.5 79.43% (+0.09)
Over 3.5 7.83% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 92.17% (+0.04)

Score analysis

Hereford United 31.87%
Draw 24.87%
Buxton 43.27%
Hereford United
2-1 @ 7.66% (+0.01)
1-0 @ 7% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 4.5% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 3.3% (+0.03)
3-2 @ 2.57% (+0.03)
3-0 @ 2.5% (+0.01)
Other @ 4.34% (+0.04)
Total : 31.87%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.34% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 6% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 5.81%
3-3 @ 1.43% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 24.87%
Buxton
1-2 @ 9.33% (-0.02)
0-1 @ 8.54% (-0.04)
0-2 @ 6.55% (-0.05)
1-3 @ 4.51% (-0.03)
0-3 @ 3.81% (-0.03)
2-3 @ 2.99% (-0.01)
Other @ 7.54% (-0.04)
Total : 43.27%

Head to Head

National League North
Aug 19, 2025 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
National League North Gameweek 35
Feb 25, 2025 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Edgar Street Athletic Ground
  • Tate Campbell 45'+2' goal
  • Alex Babos 70' goal
  • goal Cian Coleman 75'
  • redcard Cian Coleman 79'
National League North Gameweek 19
Oct 12, 2024 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT The Silverlands
  • Ethan Fitzhugh 21' yellowcard
  • Connor Kirby 26' goal
  • Connor Kirby 41' yellowcard
  • Ben Sault 44' yellowcard
  • goal Ahkeem Rose 18'
  • yellowcard Adam Rooney 21'
  • yellowcard Samson Robinson 27'
  • goal Andrew Williams 90'+3'
National League North Gameweek 43
Apr 1, 2024 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 1
FT Edgar Street Athletic Ground
  • Andrew Williams 76' goal
  • Andrew Williams 90'+3' goal
  • goal Diego De Girolamo 45'+2'
  • goal Kyle Howkins 70' (OG)
National League North Gameweek 20
Nov 21, 2023 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT The Silverlands
  • Jordan Burrow 40' goal
  • Jake Hull 80' goal
  • goal Jason Cowley 60'
National League North Gameweek 29
Jan 21, 2023 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT The Silverlands
  • goal Kane Thompson-Sommers 55'