Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Buxton win with a probability of 43.26%. A win for Hereford United had a probability of 31.87% and a draw had a probability of 24.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Buxton win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.54%) and 0-2 (6.55%). The likeliest Hereford United win was 2-1 (7.66%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.