Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Darlington win with a probability of 43.06%. A win for Buxton had a probability of 32.76% and a draw had a probability of 24.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Darlington win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.73%) and 2-0 (6.09%). The likeliest Buxton win was 1-2 (7.77%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.81%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.