National League North Gameweek 38
Mar 10, 2026 7.45pm
Blackwell Meadows

Darlington vs Buxton - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Darlington

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Mar 3, 2026 7.45pm
Darlington 1 - 2 Macclesfield
Goals scored
65
Top scorer
Cedric Main

Buxton

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Feb 28, 2026 3.00pm
Merthyr Town 1 - 3 Buxton
Goals scored
54
Top scorer
Tai Sodje

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Darlington win with a probability of 43.62%. A win for Buxton has a probability of 32.26% and a draw has a probability of 24.11%.

The most likely scoreline for a Darlington win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (7.72%) and 2-0 (6.13%). The likeliest Buxton win is 1-2 (7.76%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.78%).

Result

Darlington 43.62%
Draw 24.11%
Buxton 32.26%

Both Teams to Score: 

59.32%

Goals

Over 1.5 81.28%
Under 1.5 18.72%
Over 2.5 60.14%
Under 2.5 39.87%
Over 3.5 37.6%
Under 3.5 62.4%
Over 4.5 22.37%
Under 4.5 77.63%

First Half Winner

Darlington 32.91%
Draw 39.7%
Buxton 27.4%

Team To Score First

Darlington 51.19%
No Goal 4.76%
Buxton 44.05%

Corners

Over 8 59.12%
Equal 8 10.96%
Under 8 29.92%
Over 9 47.84%
Equal 9 11.28%
Under 9 40.88%
Over 10.5 37.14%
Under 10.5 62.86%

Darlington Goals

Over 1.5 47.59%
Under 1.5 52.41%
Over 2.5 22.8%
Under 2.5 77.2%
Over 3.5 8.74%
Under 3.5 91.26%

Buxton Goals

Over 0.5 69.43%
Under 0.5 30.57%
Over 1.5 38.21%
Under 1.5 61.79%
Over 2.5 16.11%
Under 2.5 83.89%
Over 3.5 5.58%
Under 3.5 94.42%

Score analysis

Darlington 43.62%
Draw 24.13%
Buxton 32.25%
Darlington
2-1 @ 9.07%
1-0 @ 7.72%
2-0 @ 6.13%
3-1 @ 5.13%
3-2 @ 3.61%
3-0 @ 3.6%
Other @ 8.36%
Total : 43.62%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.78%
2-2 @ 6.49%
0-0 @ 4.76%
3-3 @ 1.72%
Other @ 0.38%
Total : 24.13%
Buxton
1-2 @ 7.76%
0-1 @ 6.24%
0-2 @ 4.24%
1-3 @ 3.6%
2-3 @ 3.1%
0-3 @ 2.11%
Other @ 5.2%
Total : 32.25%

Head to Head

National League North
Oct 4, 2025 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
National League North Gameweek 29
Jan 28, 2025 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Blackwell Meadows
  • goal Luke Brennan 11'
National League North Gameweek 3
Aug 20, 2024 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT The Silverlands
  • Josh Popoola 22' goal
  • Ethan Fitzhugh 36' goal
  • Kieran Burton 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Will Flint 45'+2'
National League North Gameweek 36
Feb 24, 2024 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Blackwell Meadows
  • Mitchell Curry 69' goal
  • Andrew Nelson 82' goal
  • goal Scott Barrow 34' (OG)
National League North Gameweek 7
Sep 2, 2023 3.00pm
5
0
HT : 3 0
FT The Silverlands
  • Samuel Osborne 10' goal
  • Samuel Osborne 35' goal
  • Samuel Osborne 36' goal
  • Jak McCourt 54' goal
  • Diego De Girolamo 90'+6' goal
  • redcard Jake Lawlor 52'
National League North Gameweek 34
Feb 21, 2023 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Blackwell Meadows
  • Ben Liddle 90'+3' goal
  • goal Joe Ackroyd 54'