Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Buxton win with a probability of 39.45%. A win for Fylde had a probability of 35.18% and a draw had a probability of 25.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Buxton win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.22%) and 2-0 (6.14%). The likeliest Fylde win was 0-1 (8.11%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.9%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.