Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Buxton win with a probability of 44.27%. A win for King's Lynn Town had a probability of 30.06% and a draw had a probability of 25.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Buxton win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.98%) and 2-0 (7.39%). The likeliest King's Lynn Town win was 0-1 (8.11%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.