Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kidderminster Harriers win with a probability of 39.85%. A win for Buxton had a probability of 33.15% and a draw had a probability of 26.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kidderminster Harriers win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.7%) and 0-2 (6.92%). The likeliest Buxton win was 1-0 (9.16%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.