National League North
Mar 14, 2026 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT The Chorley Group Victory Park Stadium
  • Jack Sampson 17' goal
  • goal Cian Coleman 61'
  • goal Johnny Johnston 74'

Chorley vs Buxton - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Chorley

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Mar 10, 2026 7.45pm
Chorley 1 - 1 South Shields
Goals scored
60
Top scorer
Anjola Popoola

Buxton

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Mar 10, 2026 7.45pm
Darlington 0 - 2 Buxton
Goals scored
60
Top scorer
Cian Coleman

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chorley win with a probability of 41.82%. A win for Buxton had a probability of 32.42% and a draw had a probability of 25.76%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chorley win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.02%) and 2-0 (6.53%). The likeliest Buxton win was 0-1 (7.91%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.

Result

Chorley 41.82% (+0.55)
Draw 25.76% (+0.06)
Buxton 32.42% (-0.55)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.14% (-0.21)

Goals

Over 1.5 76.3% (-0.16)
Under 1.5 23.7% (+0.15)
Over 2.5 52.97% (-0.29)
Under 2.5 47.03% (+0.29)
Over 3.5 30.36% (-0.18)
Under 3.5 69.64% (+0.24)
Over 4.5 17.07% (-0.11)
Under 4.5 82.93% (+0.12)

First Half Winner

Chorley 32.21% (+0.12)
Draw 41.68%
Buxton 26.11% (-0.13)

Team To Score First

Chorley 48.38% (+0.18)
No Goal 6.53% (+0.09)
Buxton 45.09% (-0.26)

Corners

Over 8 55.19% (-0.11)
Equal 8 11.35% (+0.03)
Under 8 33.46% (+0.08)
Over 9 43.86% (-0.14)
Equal 9 11.33% (+0.02)
Under 9 44.81% (+0.11)
Over 10.5 33.44% (-0.15)
Under 10.5 66.56% (+0.15)

Chorley Goals

Over 1.5 42.33% (+0.31)
Under 1.5 57.67% (-0.31)
Over 2.5 18.48% (+0.22)
Under 2.5 81.52% (-0.22)
Over 3.5 6.51% (+0.10)
Under 3.5 93.49% (-0.11)

Buxton Goals

Over 0.5 67.82% (-0.47)
Under 0.5 32.18% (+0.47)
Over 1.5 34.56% (-0.59)
Under 1.5 65.44% (+0.60)
Over 2.5 13.37% (-0.37)
Under 2.5 86.63% (+0.36)
Over 3.5 4.14% (-0.15)
Under 3.5 95.86% (+0.15)

Score analysis

Chorley 41.82%
Draw 25.76%
Buxton 32.43%
Chorley
1-0 @ 9.27% (+0.14)
2-1 @ 9.02% (+0.04)
2-0 @ 6.53% (+0.16)
3-1 @ 4.35% (+0.06)
3-0 @ 3.54% (+0.07)
3-2 @ 2.79%
Other @ 6.32% (+0.09)
Total : 41.82%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.98% (+0.04)
0-0 @ 6.53% (+0.09)
2-2 @ 5.77% (-0.06)
3-3 @ 1.29% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.19% (+0.02)
Total : 25.76%
Buxton
0-1 @ 7.91%
1-2 @ 7.82% (-0.11)
0-2 @ 4.81% (-0.08)
1-3 @ 3.17% (-0.09)
2-3 @ 2.53% (-0.06)
0-3 @ 2.24% (-0.08)
Other @ 3.95% (-0.15)
Total : 32.43%

Head to Head

National League North
Oct 18, 2025 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT
National League North Gameweek 44
Apr 18, 2025 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT The Silverlands
  • Connor Kirby 20' goal
National League North Gameweek 24
Feb 4, 2025 7.45pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT The Chorley Group Victory Park Stadium
  • Mark Ellis 34' goal
  • True Grant 67' goal
  • Mike Calveley 85' goal
National League North Gameweek 44
Apr 6, 2024 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 1 0
FT The Silverlands
  • Diego De Girolamo 36' goal
  • Luke Shiels 56' goal
  • Max Hunt 73' goal
  • goal Scott Wilson 73'
National League North Gameweek 22
Dec 12, 2023 7.45pm
3
2
HT : 1 1
FT The Chorley Group Victory Park Stadium
  • Mike Calveley 28' goal
  • Jack Sampson 45' redcard
  • Carlton Ubaezuonu 63' goal
  • Mark Ellis 81' goal
  • goal Diego De Girolamo 18'
  • redcard Will Bapaga 45'
  • goal Jake Wright 74'
National League North Gameweek 35
Feb 25, 2023 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 1
FT The Chorley Group Victory Park Stadium
  • Connor Hall 70' goal
  • Connor Hall 80' goal
  • goal Declan Poole 45'+3'
  • goal Warren Clarke 72'