National League North Gameweek 38
Mar 10, 2026 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT The Chorley Group Victory Park Stadium
  • Jack Sampson 16' goal
  • goal Sonny Finch 12'

Chorley vs South Shields - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Chorley

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Mar 7, 2026 3.00pm
Macclesfield 1 - 2 Chorley
Goals scored
60
Top scorer
Anjola Popoola

South Shields

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Mar 7, 2026 3.00pm
South Shields 3 - 0 Curzon Ashton
Goals scored
80
Top scorer
Paul Blackett

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a South Shields win with a probability of 42.6%. A win for Chorley had a probability of 32.48% and a draw had a probability of 24.91%.

The most likely scoreline for a South Shields win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.98%) and 0-2 (6.72%). The likeliest Chorley win was 2-1 (7.65%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.

Result

Chorley 32.48% (-0.11)
Draw 24.91%
South Shields 42.6% (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.14%

Goals

Over 1.5 77.27% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 22.73% (+0.08)
Over 2.5 54.21% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 45.79% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 31.49% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 68.51% (-0.01)
Over 4.5 17.91%
Under 4.5 82.09%

First Half Winner

Chorley 28.02%
Draw 41.01%
South Shields 30.97%

Team To Score First

Chorley 42.87%
No Goal 6.13% (-0.01)
South Shields 51% (+0.01)

Corners

Over 8 47.93%
Equal 8 12.09%
Under 8 39.98%
Over 9 36.52% (-0.01)
Equal 9 11.41% (+0.01)
Under 9 52.07%
Over 10.5 26.63% (-0.02)
Under 10.5 73.37% (+0.02)

Chorley Goals

Over 1.5 35.22% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 64.78% (+0.08)
Over 2.5 13.76% (-0.05)
Under 2.5 86.24% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 4.41% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 95.59% (+0.03)

South Shields Goals

Over 0.5 74.7% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 25.3% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 43.31% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 56.69% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 19.17% (+0.05)
Under 2.5 80.83% (-0.05)
Over 3.5 6.9% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 93.1% (-0.03)

Score analysis

Chorley 32.48%
Draw 24.9%
South Shields 42.6%
Chorley
2-1 @ 7.65% (-0.02)
1-0 @ 7.6% (-0.03)
2-0 @ 4.88% (-0.04)
3-1 @ 3.29% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.39% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 2.38% (-0.02)
Other @ 4.29% (-0.02)
Total : 32.48%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.47% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 6.13% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.89% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.29% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 24.9%
South Shields
1-2 @ 9.14%
0-1 @ 8.98%
0-2 @ 6.72%
1-3 @ 4.39%
0-3 @ 3.55% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 3.04%
Other @ 6.78% (+0.03)
Total : 42.6%

Head to Head

National League North
Oct 4, 2025 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
FA Cup
Sep 27, 2025 3.00pm
4
1
HT : 0 0
FT
National League North Gameweek 33
Feb 15, 2025 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT The Chorley Group Victory Park Stadium
  • Momodou Touray 21' goal
  • Mark Ellis 50' goal
  • goal Martin Smith 90'+5'
National League North Gameweek 9
Sep 21, 2024 3.00pm
3
3
HT : 0 2
FT Mariners Park
  • Sam Hodgson 18' yellowcard
  • Tom Broadbent 23' yellowcard
  • Mackenzie Heaney 52' goal
  • Sam Hodgson 56' goal
  • Coleby Shepherd 80' yellowcard
  • Sam Hodgson 90'+5' goal
  • Will Jenkins 90'+5' yellowcard
  • goal Kole Hall 10'
  • goal Momodou Touray 15'
  • goal Mark Ellis 68'
National League North Gameweek 39
Mar 12, 2024 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Mariners Park
  • Aaron Martin 21' goal
  • Dylan Stephenson 90'+4' goal
  • goal Carlton Ubaezuonu 47'
National League North Gameweek 14
Oct 24, 2023 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT The Chorley Group Victory Park Stadium
  • Mike Calveley 31' goal
  • Carlton Ubaezuonu 68' goal
  • goal Paul Blackett 45'+3'