Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Buxton win with a probability of 49.84%. A win for Bedford had a probability of 25.93% and a draw had a probability of 24.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Buxton win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.77%) and 2-0 (7.87%). The likeliest Bedford win was 1-2 (6.73%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.2%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.