Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Radcliffe win with a probability of 43.21%. A win for Bedford had a probability of 31.92% and a draw had a probability of 24.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Radcliffe win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8%) and 0-2 (6.24%). The likeliest Bedford win was 2-1 (7.57%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.