Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bedford win with a probability of 47.54%. A win for Worksop Town had a probability of 28.49% and a draw had a probability of 23.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bedford win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.94%) and 2-0 (6.74%). The likeliest Worksop Town win was 1-2 (7.31%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.8%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.