National League North
Apr 11, 2026 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 2 0
FT The New Eyrie
  • Ryan Doherty 18' goal
  • Josh Castiglione 29' goal
  • goal Lewis Hudson 57'
  • goal Andy Williams 64'

Bedford vs Hereford United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Bedford

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Apr 6, 2026 3.00pm
King's Lynn 0 - 1 Bedford
Goals scored
62
Top scorer
Tyrone Marsh

Hereford United

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Apr 8, 2026 7.45pm
Marine AFC 0 - 1 Hereford
Goals scored
55
Top scorer
George Munday

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bedford win with a probability of 47.27%. A win for Hereford United had a probability of 28.9% and a draw had a probability of 23.82%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bedford win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.98%) and 2-0 (6.78%). The likeliest Hereford United win was 1-2 (6.98%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.

Result

Bedford 47.27% (+0.20)
Draw 23.82% (-0.04)
Hereford United 28.9% (-0.13)

Both Teams to Score: 

59.91% (-0.02)

Goals

Over 1.5 81.78% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 18.22% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 60.25%
Under 2.5 39.75%
Over 3.5 37.93% (-0.14)
Under 3.5 62.07% (+0.12)
Over 4.5 22.88% (-0.08)
Under 4.5 77.12% (+0.08)

First Half Winner

Bedford 36.45% (+0.07)
Draw 39.04%
Hereford United 24.51% (-0.06)

Team To Score First

Bedford 56.04% (+0.11)
No Goal 4.6% (+0.01)
Hereford United 39.36% (-0.11)

Corners

Over 8 64.1% (-0.44)
Equal 8 10.55% (+0.07)
Under 8 25.35% (+0.38)
Over 9 52.79% (-0.47)
Equal 9 11.3% (+0.04)
Under 9 35.91% (+0.44)
Over 10.5 41.68% (-0.46)
Under 10.5 58.32% (+0.46)

Bedford Goals

Over 1.5 50.72% (+0.12)
Under 1.5 49.28% (-0.12)
Over 2.5 25% (+0.08)
Under 2.5 75% (-0.07)
Over 3.5 10.16% (+0.05)
Under 3.5 89.84% (-0.04)

Hereford United Goals

Over 0.5 66.84% (-0.12)
Under 0.5 33.16% (+0.12)
Over 1.5 35.31% (-0.17)
Under 1.5 64.69% (+0.18)
Over 2.5 14.38% (-0.13)
Under 2.5 85.62% (+0.14)
Over 3.5 4.72% (-0.07)
Under 3.5 95.28% (+0.07)

Score analysis

Bedford 47.29%
Draw 23.82%
Hereford United 28.89%
Bedford
2-1 @ 9.6% (+0.05)
1-0 @ 7.98% (+0.04)
2-0 @ 6.78% (+0.05)
3-1 @ 5.5% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 3.98% (+0.05)
3-2 @ 3.63% (-0.03)
Other @ 9.82% (+0.06)
Total : 47.29%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.79%
2-2 @ 6.36% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 4.6% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.73% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.34% (-0.01)
Total : 23.82%
Hereford United
1-2 @ 6.98% (+0.02)
0-1 @ 5.64% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 3.96% (-0.03)
1-3 @ 3.2% (-0.05)
2-3 @ 2.98% (-0.03)
0-3 @ 1.75% (+0.02)
Other @ 4.38% (-0.05)
Total : 28.89%

Head to Head

National League North
Sep 2, 2025 7.45pm
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT