National League North Gameweek 44
Apr 11, 2026 3.00pm
The New Eyrie

Bedford vs Hereford United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Bedford

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Apr 6, 2026 3.00pm
King's Lynn 0 - 1 Bedford
Goals scored
60
Top scorer
Tyrone Marsh

Hereford United

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Apr 8, 2026 7.45pm
Marine AFC 0 - 1 Hereford
Goals scored
52
Top scorer
George Munday

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Bedford win with a probability of 47.27%. A win for Hereford United has a probability of 28.9% and a draw has a probability of 23.82%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bedford win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (7.98%) and 2-0 (6.78%). The likeliest Hereford United win is 1-2 (6.98%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.79%).

Result

Bedford 47.27% (+0.20)
Draw 23.82% (-0.04)
Hereford United 28.9% (-0.13)

Both Teams to Score: 

59.91% (-0.02)

Goals

Over 1.5 81.78% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 18.22% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 60.25%
Under 2.5 39.75%
Over 3.5 37.93% (-0.14)
Under 3.5 62.07% (+0.12)
Over 4.5 22.88% (-0.08)
Under 4.5 77.12% (+0.08)

First Half Winner

Bedford 36.45% (+0.07)
Draw 39.04%
Hereford United 24.51% (-0.06)

Team To Score First

Bedford 56.04% (+0.11)
No Goal 4.6% (+0.01)
Hereford United 39.36% (-0.11)

Corners

Over 8 64.1% (-0.44)
Equal 8 10.55% (+0.07)
Under 8 25.35% (+0.38)
Over 9 52.79% (-0.47)
Equal 9 11.3% (+0.04)
Under 9 35.91% (+0.44)
Over 10.5 41.68% (-0.46)
Under 10.5 58.32% (+0.46)

Bedford Goals

Over 1.5 50.72% (+0.12)
Under 1.5 49.28% (-0.12)
Over 2.5 25% (+0.08)
Under 2.5 75% (-0.07)
Over 3.5 10.16% (+0.05)
Under 3.5 89.84% (-0.04)

Hereford United Goals

Over 0.5 66.84% (-0.12)
Under 0.5 33.16% (+0.12)
Over 1.5 35.31% (-0.17)
Under 1.5 64.69% (+0.18)
Over 2.5 14.38% (-0.13)
Under 2.5 85.62% (+0.14)
Over 3.5 4.72% (-0.07)
Under 3.5 95.28% (+0.07)

Score analysis

Bedford 47.29%
Draw 23.82%
Hereford United 28.89%
Bedford
2-1 @ 9.6% (+0.05)
1-0 @ 7.98% (+0.04)
2-0 @ 6.78% (+0.05)
3-1 @ 5.5% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 3.98% (+0.05)
3-2 @ 3.63% (-0.03)
Other @ 9.82% (+0.06)
Total : 47.29%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.79%
2-2 @ 6.36% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 4.6% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.73% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.34% (-0.01)
Total : 23.82%
Hereford United
1-2 @ 6.98% (+0.02)
0-1 @ 5.64% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 3.96% (-0.03)
1-3 @ 3.2% (-0.05)
2-3 @ 2.98% (-0.03)
0-3 @ 1.75% (+0.02)
Other @ 4.38% (-0.05)
Total : 28.89%

Head to Head

National League North
Sep 2, 2025 7.45pm
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT