National League North
Apr 3, 2026 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 1 1
FT The New Eyrie
  • Josh Castiglione 9' goal
  • George Moncur 54' goal
  • Eddie Brearey 68' goal
  • goal Max Brogan 6'

Bedford vs Leamington FC - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Bedford

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Mar 28, 2026 3.00pm
Telford 2 - 2 Bedford
Goals scored
60
Top scorer
Tyrone Marsh

Leamington FC

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Mar 28, 2026 3.00pm
Leamington 4 - 2 P'boro Sports
Goals scored
35
Top scorer
Max Brogan

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bedford win with a probability of 62.44%. A draw had a probability of 20.29% and a win for Leamington FC had a probability of 17.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bedford win was 2-1 with a probability of 10.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.83%) and 2-0 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.17%) , while for a Leamington FC win it was 1-2 (4.73%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.

Result

Bedford 62.44% (+0.10)
Draw 20.29% (-0.06)
Leamington FC 17.27% (-0.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.39% (+0.05)

Goals

Over 1.5 80.69% (+0.07)
Under 1.5 19.31% (-0.07)
Over 2.5 59.74% (+0.11)
Under 2.5 40.26% (-0.11)
Over 3.5 37.17% (+0.10)
Under 3.5 62.83% (-0.10)
Over 4.5 24.38% (+0.08)
Under 4.5 75.62% (-0.08)

First Half Winner

Bedford 42.96%
Draw 38.21%
Leamington FC 18.83%

Team To Score First

Bedford 63.4% (+0.01)
No Goal 5.01% (-0.03)
Leamington FC 31.59% (+0.02)

Corners

Over 8 56.93% (-0.08)
Equal 8 11.3% (-0.02)
Under 8 31.78% (+0.13)
Over 9 45.51% (-0.06)
Equal 9 11.42% (-0.05)
Under 9 43.07% (+0.08)
Over 10.5 34.88% (-0.02)
Under 10.5 65.12% (+0.03)

Bedford Goals

Over 1.5 60.28% (+0.11)
Under 1.5 39.72% (-0.11)
Over 2.5 34.22% (+0.11)
Under 2.5 65.78% (-0.11)
Over 3.5 16.47% (+0.06)
Under 3.5 83.53% (-0.07)

Leamington FC Goals

Over 0.5 52.48% (-0.04)
Under 0.5 47.52% (+0.04)
Over 1.5 22.33%
Under 1.5 77.67%
Over 2.5 7.11%
Under 2.5 92.89%
Over 3.5 2%
Under 3.5 98%

Score analysis

Bedford 62.44%
Draw 20.29%
Leamington FC 17.27%
Bedford
2-1 @ 10.11%
1-0 @ 9.83% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 9.55%
3-0 @ 6.83% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 6.4% (+0.03)
3-2 @ 3.42% (+0.03)
Other @ 16.3% (+0.07)
Total : 62.44%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.17% (-0.03)
0-0 @ 5.01% (-0.03)
2-2 @ 4.84%
3-3 @ 1.1%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 20.29%
Leamington FC
1-2 @ 4.73% (-0.01)
0-1 @ 4.47% (-0.03)
0-2 @ 2.23% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.56%
1-3 @ 1.55%
Other @ 1.83%
Total : 17.27%

Head to Head

National League North
Dec 26, 2025 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT
  • 11' yellowcard
  • Seb Thompson 15' goal
  • Ewan Williams 66' goal
  • goal Tyrone Marsh 32'
  • goal Tyrone Marsh 60'