National League North
Gameweek
43
Hereford United vs Merthyr Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Merthyr Town win with a probability of 40.1%. A win for Hereford United has a probability of 37.26% and a draw has a probability of 22.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Merthyr Town win is 1-2 with a probability of 8.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (6.18%) and 0-2 (4.95%). The likeliest Hereford United win is 2-1 (7.86%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.61%).
Result
Hereford United
37.26%
▼
(-2.18)
Draw
22.64%
▼
(-0.26)
Merthyr Town
40.1%
▲
(+2.45)
Both Teams to Score:
62.63%
▼
(-0.95)
Goals
Over 1.5
84.22%
▼
(-0.44)
Under 1.5
15.78%
▲
(+0.43)
Over 2.5
65.06%
▼
(-0.66)
Under 2.5
34.94%
▲
(+0.66)
Over 3.5
43.2%
▼
(-1.19)
Under 3.5
56.8%
▲
(+1.19)
Over 4.5
27.2%
▼
(-0.86)
Under 4.5
72.8%
▲
(+0.86)
First Half Winner
Hereford United
28.19%
▼
(-0.69)
Draw
37.1%
▼
(-0.43)
Merthyr Town
34.71%
▲
(+1.12)
Team To Score First
Hereford United
44.41%
▼
(-0.79)
No Goal
3.81%
▲
(+0.07)
Merthyr Town
51.78%
▲
(+0.72)
Corners
Over 8
68.09%
▲
(+3.50)
Equal 8
9.65%
▼
(-0.24)
Under 8
22.26%
▼
(-3.26)
Over 9
57.43%
▲
(+3.43)
Equal 9
10.66%
▲
(+0.07)
Under 9
31.91%
▼
(-3.49)
Over 10.5
46.59%
▲
(+3.11)
Under 10.5
53.41%
▼
(-3.11)
Hereford United Goals
Over 1.5
44.5%
▼
(-2.57)
Under 1.5
55.5%
▲
(+2.57)
Over 2.5
21.47%
▼
(-2.06)
Under 2.5
78.53%
▲
(+2.05)
Over 3.5
8.53%
▼
(-1.15)
Under 3.5
91.47%
▲
(+1.15)
Merthyr Town Goals
Over 0.5
75.01%
▲
(+1.33)
Under 0.5
24.99%
▼
(-1.33)
Over 1.5
46.82%
▲
(+1.42)
Under 1.5
53.18%
▼
(-1.42)
Over 2.5
23.01%
▲
(+1.03)
Under 2.5
76.99%
▼
(-1.03)
Over 3.5
9.58%
▲
(+0.58)
Under 3.5
90.42%
▼
(-0.57)
Score analysis
Hereford United
37.27%
Draw
22.63%
Merthyr Town
40.1%
Hereford United
2-1
@
7.86%
▼
(-0.13)
1-0 @ 5.79% ▼ (-0.02)
2-0 @ 4.6% ▼ (-0.23)
3-1 @ 4.54% ▼ (-0.41)
3-2 @ 3.69% ▼ (-0.25)
3-0 @ 2.69% ▼ (-0.13)
Other @ 8.1% ▼ (-1.05)
Total : 37.27%
1-0 @ 5.79% ▼ (-0.02)
2-0 @ 4.6% ▼ (-0.23)
3-1 @ 4.54% ▼ (-0.41)
3-2 @ 3.69% ▼ (-0.25)
3-0 @ 2.69% ▼ (-0.13)
Other @ 8.1% ▼ (-1.05)
Total : 37.27%
Draw
1-1
@
9.61%
▲
(+0.08)
2-2 @ 6.76% ▼ (-0.17)
0-0 @ 3.81% ▲ (+0.07)
3-3 @ 2.02% ▼ (-0.15)
Other @ 0.43% ▼ (-0.11)
Total : 22.63%
2-2 @ 6.76% ▼ (-0.17)
0-0 @ 3.81% ▲ (+0.07)
3-3 @ 2.02% ▼ (-0.15)
Other @ 0.43% ▼ (-0.11)
Total : 22.63%
Merthyr Town
1-2
@
8.41%
▲
(+0.41)
0-1 @ 6.18% ▲ (+0.38)
0-2 @ 4.95% ▲ (+0.40)
1-3 @ 4.69% ▲ (+0.23)
2-3 @ 3.81%
0-3 @ 2.91% ▲ (+0.39)
Other @ 9.15% ▲ (+0.67)
Total : 40.1%
0-1 @ 6.18% ▲ (+0.38)
0-2 @ 4.95% ▲ (+0.40)
1-3 @ 4.69% ▲ (+0.23)
2-3 @ 3.81%
0-3 @ 2.91% ▲ (+0.39)
Other @ 9.15% ▲ (+0.67)
Total : 40.1%
Head to Head
National League North
-
Ricardo Rees
28'
-
Cole Lewis Jarvis
77'
-
Lewis Hudson
59'
-
Kyle Howkins
90'+4'