National League North
Mar 21, 2026 3.00pm
4
1
HT : 3 0
FT Mariners Park
  • Paul Blackett 16' goal
  • Paul Blackett 24' goal
  • Sonny Finch 35' goal
  • Oliver Bainbridge 57' goal
  • yellowcard Lewys Twamley 79'

South Shields vs Merthyr Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

South Shields

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Mar 17, 2026 7.45pm
King's Lynn 3 - 0 South Shields
Goals scored
80
Top scorer
Paul Blackett

Merthyr Town

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Mar 14, 2026 3.00pm
Merthyr Town 2 - 3 Spennymoor
Goals scored
82
Top scorer
Lewys Twamley

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a South Shields win with a probability of 59.14%. A draw had a probability of 20.81% and a win for Merthyr Town had a probability of 20.04%.

The most likely scoreline for a South Shields win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.05%) and 2-0 (8.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.05%) , while for a Merthyr Town win it was 1-2 (5.29%).

Result

South Shields 59.14%
Draw 20.81%
Merthyr Town 20.04%

Both Teams to Score: 

56.82%

Goals

Over 1.5 83.94%
Under 1.5 16.06%
Over 2.5 64.55%
Under 2.5 35.45%
Over 3.5 42.16% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 57.84% (+0.02)
Over 4.5 27.46% (-0.01)
Under 4.5 72.54% (+0.02)

First Half Winner

South Shields 39.78%
Draw 36.76%
Merthyr Town 23.46%

Team To Score First

South Shields 58.92%
No Goal 3.98%
Merthyr Town 37.1%

Corners

Over 8 57.42%
Equal 8 11.28%
Under 8 31.29% (-0.02)
Over 9 45.96%
Equal 9 11.46%
Under 9 42.58%
Over 10.5 35.26%
Under 10.5 64.74%

South Shields Goals

Over 1.5 61.04% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 38.96% (+0.01)
Over 2.5 35.11% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 64.89% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 16.66% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 83.34% (+0.02)

Merthyr Town Goals

Over 0.5 57.63% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 42.37% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 27.85% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 72.15% (-0.01)
Over 2.5 10.46%
Under 2.5 89.54%
Over 3.5 3.42%
Under 3.5 96.58%

Score analysis

South Shields 59.15%
Draw 20.81%
Merthyr Town 20.05%
South Shields
2-1 @ 9.96%
1-0 @ 8.05%
2-0 @ 8.05%
3-1 @ 6.73%
3-0 @ 6.07%
3-2 @ 4.06%
Other @ 16.23% (-0.01)
Total : 59.15%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.05%
2-2 @ 5.76%
0-0 @ 3.98%
3-3 @ 1.59%
Other @ 0.43%
Total : 20.81%
Merthyr Town
1-2 @ 5.29% (+0.01)
0-1 @ 4.04%
0-2 @ 2.28%
1-3 @ 2.22%
2-3 @ 2.16%
0-3 @ 1.07%
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 20.05%

Head to Head

National League North
Nov 11, 2025 7.45pm
3
1
HT : 0 0
FT
National League North