Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a South Shields win with a probability of 59.14%. A draw had a probability of 20.81% and a win for Merthyr Town had a probability of 20.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a South Shields win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.05%) and 2-0 (8.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.05%) , while for a Merthyr Town win it was 1-2 (5.29%).