Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Merthyr Town win with a probability of 54.08%. A win for Oxford City has a probability of 24.04% and a draw has a probability of 21.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Merthyr Town win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (7.61%) and 2-0 (7.29%). The likeliest Oxford City win is 1-2 (6.32%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.5%).