Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kidderminster Harriers win with a probability of 51.47%. A draw had a probability of 25.78% and a win for Oxford City had a probability of 22.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kidderminster Harriers win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.57%) and 1-2 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.01%) , while for a Oxford City win it was 1-0 (7.41%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood.