Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Scarborough Athletic win with a probability of 41%. A win for Oxford City had a probability of 32.52% and a draw had a probability of 26.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a Scarborough Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.08%) and 0-2 (6.45%). The likeliest Oxford City win was 1-0 (8.33%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.