Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Telford United win with a probability of 51.68%. A win for Oxford City had a probability of 24.95% and a draw had a probability of 23.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a AFC Telford United win was 1-2 with a probability of 10.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.09%) and 0-2 (7.45%). The likeliest Oxford City win was 2-1 (6.3%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.7%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.