National League North Gameweek 36
Apr 8, 2026 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT The Marine Travel Arena
  • goal Mikey Lane 7'

Marine AFC vs Hereford United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Marine AFC

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Apr 6, 2026 3.00pm
Marine AFC 2 - 1 Chorley
Goals scored
56
Top scorer
Charlie Jolley

Hereford United

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Apr 6, 2026 3.00pm
Hereford 3 - 0 Merthyr Town
Goals scored
54
Top scorer
George Munday

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marine AFC win with a probability of 47.2%. A win for Hereford United had a probability of 28.56% and a draw had a probability of 24.24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marine AFC win was 2-1 with a probability of 10.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.63%) and 2-0 (6.86%). The likeliest Hereford United win was 1-2 (7.32%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.3%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.

Result

Marine AFC 47.2% (+0.20)
Draw 24.24% (-0.07)
Hereford United 28.56% (-0.18)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.06% (+0.06)

Goals

Over 1.5 80.15% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 19.85% (+0.03)
Over 2.5 58.25% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 41.75% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 34.47% (+0.07)
Under 3.5 65.53% (-0.07)
Over 4.5 20.34% (+0.11)
Under 4.5 79.66% (-0.11)

First Half Winner

Marine AFC 37.06% (+0.20)
Draw 40.06%
Hereford United 22.88% (-0.20)

Team To Score First

Marine AFC 54.13% (+0.70)
No Goal 5.11% (-0.03)
Hereford United 40.76% (-0.67)

Corners

Over 8 60.11% (-0.30)
Equal 8 11.19% (+0.02)
Under 8 28.69% (+0.27)
Over 9 48.5% (-0.29)
Equal 9 11.61% (-0.01)
Under 9 39.89% (+0.30)
Over 10.5 37.45% (-0.26)
Under 10.5 62.55% (+0.26)

Marine AFC Goals

Over 1.5 49.03% (+0.17)
Under 1.5 50.97% (-0.17)
Over 2.5 23.44% (+0.18)
Under 2.5 76.56% (-0.18)
Over 3.5 9.16% (+0.13)
Under 3.5 90.84% (-0.12)

Hereford United Goals

Over 0.5 66.2% (-0.22)
Under 0.5 33.8% (+0.22)
Over 1.5 33.58% (-0.18)
Under 1.5 66.42% (+0.18)
Over 2.5 13.18% (-0.09)
Under 2.5 86.82% (+0.08)
Over 3.5 4.07% (-0.05)
Under 3.5 95.93% (+0.05)

Score analysis

Marine AFC 47.19%
Draw 24.24%
Hereford United 28.56%
Marine AFC
2-1 @ 10.04% (-0.04)
1-0 @ 8.63%
2-0 @ 6.86% (+0.05)
3-1 @ 5.18% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 4.33% (+0.03)
3-2 @ 3.29% (+0.03)
Other @ 8.86% (+0.12)
Total : 47.19%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.3% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 6.05% (-0.03)
0-0 @ 5.11% (-0.03)
3-3 @ 1.48%
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 24.24%
Hereford United
1-2 @ 7.32% (-0.05)
0-1 @ 6.1% (-0.03)
0-2 @ 3.74% (-0.04)
1-3 @ 2.9% (-0.04)
2-3 @ 2.64%
0-3 @ 2.09% (-0.02)
Other @ 3.77% (-0.05)
Total : 28.56%

Head to Head

National League North Gameweek 20
Feb 3, 2026 7.45pm
Edgar Street Athletic Ground
National League North Gameweek 36
Mar 1, 2025 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 2
FT The Marine Travel Arena
  • Chris Doyle 66' goal
  • Finlay Sinclair-Smith 75' goal
  • goal Remaye Campbell 22'
  • goal Alex Babos 33'
National League North Gameweek 17
Nov 9, 2024 3.00pm
4
0
HT : 2 0
FT Edgar Street Athletic Ground
  • Ryan Bartley 1' goal
  • Jason Cowley 16' goal
  • Kyle Howkins 53' yellowcard
  • Cosmos Matwasa 60' yellowcard
  • Andrew Williams 79' goal
  • Mark Derricott 90'+5' goal
  • yellowcard Chris Doyle 12'
  • yellowcard Finlay Sinclair-Smith 26'