National League North
Apr 3, 2026 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Haig Avenue
  • Luke Griffiths 23' goal
  • Malakai McKenzie 82' goal
  • goal Charlie Jolley 77'

Southport vs Marine AFC - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Southport

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Mar 21, 2026 3.00pm
Chester 1 - 2 Southport
Goals scored
59
Top scorer
Malakai McKenzie

Marine AFC

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Mar 31, 2026 7.45pm
Fylde 2 - 0 Marine AFC
Goals scored
53
Top scorer
Charlie Jolley

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southport win with a probability of 52.58%. A draw had a probability of 25.24% and a win for Marine AFC had a probability of 22.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southport win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (10.06%) and 2-0 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.7%) , while for a Marine AFC win it was 0-1 (7.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.

Result

Southport 52.58% (+3.04)
Draw 25.24% (-0.75)
Marine AFC 22.18% (-2.29)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.63% (-0.59)

Goals

Over 1.5 73.57% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 26.43% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 49.66% (-0.03)
Under 2.5 50.34% (+0.03)
Over 3.5 28% (+0.31)
Under 3.5 72% (-0.30)
Over 4.5 15.87% (+0.34)
Under 4.5 84.13% (-0.33)

First Half Winner

Southport 34.56% (+1.70)
Draw 43.3% (-0.73)
Marine AFC 22.14% (-0.97)

Team To Score First

Southport 57.46% (+2.86)
No Goal 7.45% (-0.14)
Marine AFC 35.09% (-2.71)

Corners

Over 8 59.09% (-0.37)
Equal 8 11.3% (-0.09)
Under 8 29.61% (+0.45)
Over 9 47.46% (-0.25)
Equal 9 11.63% (-0.13)
Under 9 40.91% (+0.37)
Over 10.5 36.47% (-0.11)
Under 10.5 63.53% (+0.11)

Southport Goals

Over 1.5 48.31% (+2.04)
Under 1.5 51.69% (-2.04)
Over 2.5 22.68% (+1.58)
Under 2.5 77.32% (-1.58)
Over 3.5 8.37% (+0.65)
Under 3.5 91.63% (-0.66)

Marine AFC Goals

Over 0.5 58.41% (-2.11)
Under 0.5 41.59% (+2.11)
Over 1.5 24.27% (-2.11)
Under 1.5 75.73% (+2.11)
Over 2.5 7.36% (-1.23)
Under 2.5 92.64% (+1.24)
Over 3.5 2.05% (-0.38)
Under 3.5 97.95% (+0.38)

Score analysis

Southport 52.58%
Draw 25.24%
Marine AFC 22.17%
Southport
1-0 @ 11.92% (+0.46)
2-1 @ 10.06% (+0.18)
2-0 @ 9.05% (+0.64)
3-1 @ 5.33% (+0.41)
3-0 @ 4.94% (+0.41)
3-2 @ 3.06% (+0.23)
Other @ 8.22% (+0.74)
Total : 52.58%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.7% (-0.24)
0-0 @ 7.45% (-0.14)
2-2 @ 4.96% (-0.20)
Other @ 0.15% (-0.09)
Total : 25.24%
Marine AFC
0-1 @ 7.05% (-0.36)
1-2 @ 5.71% (-0.55)
0-2 @ 3.18% (-0.35)
1-3 @ 1.83% (-0.24)
2-3 @ 1.56% (-0.15)
Other @ 1.9% (-0.30)
Total : 22.17%

Head to Head

National League North
Dec 26, 2025 3.00pm
4
2
HT : 2 1
FT
  • Josh Wardle 4' goal
  • Finlay Sinclair-Smith 35' goal
  • Finlay Sinclair-Smith 54' goal
  • Offrande Zanzala 66' goal
  • goal Ted Lavelle 30'
  • yellowcard 33'
  • goal Arthur Gnahoua 73'
National League North Gameweek 38
Mar 11, 2025 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT The Marine Travel Arena
  • Josh Wardle 53' goal
National League North Gameweek 20
Nov 30, 2024 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Haig Avenue
  • Luke Burgess 66' yellowcard
  • Danny Philliskirk 70' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Josh Wardle 47'
  • yellowcard Matty Waters 87'