Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southend United win with a probability of 44.44%. A win for Southport had a probability of 30.39% and a draw had a probability of 25.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southend United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.13%) and 0-2 (7.34%). The likeliest Southport win was 1-0 (7.88%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.