Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southend United win with a probability of 44.73%. A win for Altrincham had a probability of 28.99% and a draw had a probability of 26.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southend United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.26%) and 0-2 (7.45%). The likeliest Altrincham win was 1-0 (7.81%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.