Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Scunthorpe United win with a probability of 50.66%. A win for Altrincham had a probability of 25.98% and a draw had a probability of 23.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Scunthorpe United win was 2-1 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.18%) and 2-0 (7.12%). The likeliest Altrincham win was 1-2 (6.84%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.