Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Scunthorpe United win with a probability of 47.64%. A win for Sutton United had a probability of 29.11% and a draw had a probability of 23.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Scunthorpe United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.18%) and 2-0 (6.25%). The likeliest Sutton United win was 1-2 (7.26%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.