National League Gameweek 37
Mar 7, 2026 3.00pm
The Borough Sports Ground

Sutton United vs Morecambe - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Sutton United

All competitions
Last game
Mar 3, 2026 7.45pm
Hartlepool 0 - 2 Sutton
Goals scored
49
Top scorer
Kai Jennings

Morecambe

All competitions
Last game
Mar 3, 2026 7.45pm
Wealdstone 2 - 3 Morecambe
Goals scored
49
Top scorer
Jack Nolan

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Sutton United win with a probability of 55.62%. A draw has a probability of 22.54% and a win for Morecambe has a probability of 21.84%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win is 2-1 with a probability of 10.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.12%) and 2-0 (7.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.08%) , while for a Morecambe win it is 1-2 (5.82%).

Result

Sutton United 55.62% (-1.04)
Draw 22.54% (+0.43)
Morecambe 21.84% (+0.54)

Both Teams to Score: 

60.18% (-0.22)

Goals

Over 1.5 83.18% (-0.65)
Under 1.5 16.82% (+0.65)
Over 2.5 62.74% (-0.95)
Under 2.5 37.26% (+0.95)
Over 3.5 40.14% (-1.58)
Under 3.5 59.86% (+1.58)
Over 4.5 25.16% (-1.42)
Under 4.5 74.84% (+1.43)

First Half Winner

Sutton United 40.73% (-0.29)
Draw 37.55%
Morecambe 21.72% (+0.28)

Team To Score First

Sutton United 62.06% (-0.29)
No Goal 4.22% (+0.17)
Morecambe 33.72% (+0.12)

Corners

Over 8 72.78% (-0.38)
Equal 8 8.94% (+0.06)
Under 8 18.28% (+0.33)
Over 9 62.5% (-0.40)
Equal 9 10.28% (+0.02)
Under 9 27.22% (+0.38)
Over 10.5 51.63% (-0.40)
Under 10.5 48.37% (+0.40)

Sutton United Goals

Over 1.5 58.09% (-1.28)
Under 1.5 41.91% (+1.28)
Over 2.5 31.57% (-1.41)
Under 2.5 68.43% (+1.42)
Over 3.5 14.15% (-1.12)
Under 3.5 85.85% (+1.12)

Morecambe Goals

Over 0.5 60.75% (+0.54)
Under 0.5 39.25% (-0.54)
Over 1.5 29.6% (+0.24)
Under 1.5 70.4% (-0.23)
Over 2.5 10.91%
Under 2.5 89.09%
Over 3.5 3.29% (-0.09)
Under 3.5 96.71% (+0.09)

Score analysis

Sutton United 55.62%
Draw 22.53%
Morecambe 21.84%
Sutton United
2-1 @ 10.2% (+0.11)
1-0 @ 8.12% (+0.26)
2-0 @ 7.73% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 6.4% (-0.21)
3-0 @ 5.34% (+0.13)
3-2 @ 4% (-0.18)
Other @ 13.83% (-1.10)
Total : 55.62%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.08% (+0.23)
2-2 @ 6.23% (+0.08)
0-0 @ 4.22% (+0.17)
3-3 @ 1.68% (-0.03)
Other @ 0.32% (-0.03)
Total : 22.53%
Morecambe
1-2 @ 5.82% (+0.25)
0-1 @ 4.47% (+0.18)
0-2 @ 2.64% (+0.10)
2-3 @ 2.36% (-0.04)
1-3 @ 2.34% (-0.03)
0-3 @ 1.24% (+0.16)
Other @ 2.97% (-0.07)
Total : 21.84%

Head to Head

National League
Nov 8, 2025 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT
League Two Gameweek 32
Feb 10, 2024 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Mazuma Stadium
  • Gerard Garner 4' goal
  • Gerard Garner 24' yellowcard
  • Chris Stokes 45'+3' yellowcard
  • Joel Senior 65' yellowcard
  • Gwion Edwards 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Nino Adom-Malaki 28'
  • yellowcard Lee Angol 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Ryan Jackson 72'
  • yellowcard Sam Hart 90'+3'
League Two Gameweek 14
Oct 21, 2023 3.00pm
2
3
HT : 1 2
FT Walton Road Stadium
  • Josh Coley 44' yellowcard
  • Harry Smith 45'+4' goal
  • Ben Goodliffe 62' goal
  • goal Michael Mellon 30'
  • yellowcard Derek Adams 45'
  • goal Adam Major 45'+2'
  • yellowcard David Tutonda 72'
  • goal Joel Senior 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Donald Love 90'+6'