Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutton United win with a probability of 46.49%. A win for Wealdstone had a probability of 28.98% and a draw had a probability of 24.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.38%) and 2-0 (6.53%). The likeliest Wealdstone win was 1-2 (6.99%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.27%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.