Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wealdstone win with a probability of 39.42%. A win for Aldershot Town had a probability of 35.99% and a draw had a probability of 24.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wealdstone win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8%) and 0-2 (6.03%). The likeliest Aldershot Town win was 2-1 (8.17%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.43%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood.