Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutton United win with a probability of 39.26%. A win for Yeovil Town had a probability of 35.15% and a draw had a probability of 25.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.58%) and 0-2 (6.23%). The likeliest Yeovil Town win was 1-0 (8.5%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.69%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.