Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southend United win with a probability of 53.9%. A draw had a probability of 25.22% and a win for Rochdale had a probability of 20.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southend United win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.88%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.21%) , while for a Rochdale win it was 0-1 (7.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.