National League Gameweek 30
Southend
Mar 17, 2026 7.45pm
3
2
HT : 3 1
FT Roots Hall Stadium
Rochdale
  • Andrew Dallas 3' goal
  • James Golding 17' goal
  • Tom Hopper 27' goal
  • Oliver Coker 66' yellowcard
  • Charley Kendall 66' yellowcard
  • Slavi Spasov 66' yellowcard
  • Slavi Spasov 67' yellowcard
  • Oliver Coker 67' yellowcard
  • Charley Kendall 67' yellowcard
  • Jack Bridge 88' yellowcard
  • Ben Goodliffe 88' yellowcard
  • goal Emmanuel Dieseruvwe 20'
  • yellowcard Tyler Smith 46'
  • goal Casey Pettit 55'
  • yellowcard E. Francis 82'
  • yellowcard Ian Henderson 82'
  • yellowcard E. Francis 83'
  • yellowcard Ian Henderson 83'
  • yellowcard Connor McBride 88'
  • yellowcard Connor McBride 89'

Southend United vs Rochdale - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Southend United

All competitions
Last game
Mar 14, 2026 3.00pm
Southend 2 - 0 Forest Green
Goals scored
61
Top scorer
Gus Scott-Morriss

Rochdale

All competitions
Last game
Mar 14, 2026 5.30pm
Eastleigh 1 - 3 Rochdale
Goals scored
74
Top scorer
Emmanuel Dieseruvwe

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southend United win with a probability of 43.77%. A win for Rochdale had a probability of 29.84% and a draw had a probability of 26.39%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southend United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.35%) and 2-0 (7.31%). The likeliest Rochdale win was 0-1 (8.05%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.

Result

Southend United 43.77% ▼ (-2.17)
Draw 26.39% ▲ (+0.29)
Rochdale 29.84% ▲ (+1.90)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.7% ▼ (-0.11)

Goals

Over 1.5 74.18% ▼ (-0.42)
Under 1.5 25.82% ▲ (+0.43)
Over 2.5 49.65% ▼ (-0.43)
Under 2.5 50.35% ▲ (+0.43)
Over 3.5 27.43% ▼ (-0.20)
Under 3.5 72.57% ▲ (+0.24)
Over 4.5 15.14% ▼ (-0.10)
Under 4.5 84.86% ▲ (+0.10)

First Half Winner

Southend United 32.84% ▼ (-0.76)
Draw 40.23% ▲ (+0.02)
Rochdale 26.93% ▲ (+0.74)

Team To Score First

Southend United 49.41% ▼ (-2.27)
No Goal 7.43% ▲ (+0.30)
Rochdale 43.16% ▲ (+1.96)

Corners

Over 8 58.38% ▼ (-0.15)
Equal 8 11.35% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 8 30.27% ▲ (+0.11)
Over 9 46.76% ▼ (-0.20)
Equal 9 11.62% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 9 41.62% ▲ (+0.15)
Over 10.5 35.84% ▼ (-0.22)
Under 10.5 64.16% ▲ (+0.22)

Southend United Goals

Over 1.5 41.89% ▼ (-1.98)
Under 1.5 58.11% ▲ (+1.98)
Over 2.5 17.88% ▼ (-1.09)
Under 2.5 82.12% ▲ (+1.10)
Over 3.5 6.24% ▼ (-0.52)
Under 3.5 93.76% ▲ (+0.53)

Rochdale Goals

Over 0.5 65.05% ▲ (+1.25)
Under 0.5 34.95% ▼ (-1.25)
Over 1.5 30.85% ▲ (+1.43)
Under 1.5 69.15% ▼ (-1.43)
Over 2.5 11.1% ▲ (+0.84)
Under 2.5 88.9% ▼ (-0.84)
Over 3.5 3.38% ▲ (+0.42)
Under 3.5 96.62% ▼ (-0.43)

Score analysis

Southend United 43.77%
Draw 26.39%
Rochdale 29.85%
Southend United
1-0 @ 10.35% ▼ (-0.25)
2-1 @ 9.35% ▼ (-0.38)
2-0 @ 7.31% ▼ (-0.46)
3-1 @ 4.26% ▼ (-0.25)
3-0 @ 3.77% ▼ (-0.32)
3-2 @ 2.63% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 6.1% ▼ (-0.53)
Total : 43.77%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.54% ▲ (+0.05)
0-0 @ 7.43% ▲ (+0.30)
2-2 @ 5.3% ▼ (-0.09)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 26.39%
Rochdale
0-1 @ 8.05% ▲ (+0.39)
1-2 @ 7.15% ▲ (+0.30)
0-2 @ 4.67% ▲ (+0.41)
1-3 @ 2.73% ▲ (+0.23)
2-3 @ 2.05% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.96% ▲ (+0.18)
Other @ 3.24% ▲ (+0.43)
Total : 29.85%

Head to Head

National League
Rochdale
Jan 27, 2026 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Crown Oil Arena
Southend
  • Kyron Gordon 44' goal
  • Emmanuel Dieseruvwe 56' yellowcard
  • Joe Pritchard 71' yellowcard
  • Casey Pettit 71' yellowcard
  • Tarryn Allarakhia 71' yellowcard
  • Casey Pettit 72' yellowcard
  • 72' yellowcard
  • Tarryn Allarakhia 72' yellowcard
  • Dan Moss 73' yellowcard
  • Joe Pritchard 88' yellowcard
  • Harvey Gilmour 90' goal
  • goal Gus Scott-Morriss 40'
  • yellowcard Tom Hopper 56'
  • yellowcard Harry Boyes 57'
  • yellowcard Keenan Appiah-Forson 57'
  • yellowcard Cavanagh Miley 58'
  • yellowcard James Morton 62'
  • yellowcard Josh Walker 63'
  • yellowcard Tom Hopper 70'
  • yellowcard Ben Goodliffe 72'
  • yellowcard 72'
  • yellowcard Josh Walker 73'
  • yellowcard Jack Bridge 83'
National League
Rochdale
Sep 20, 2025 5.30pm
Southend
National League
Rochdale
May 15, 2025 7.45pm
3
4
HT : 2 1
ET Spotland Stadium
Southend
  • Devante Rodney 8' goal
  • Jay Bird 28' goal
  • Devante Rodney 56' goal
  • Aidan Barlow 67' yellowcard
  • Liam Hogan 72' yellowcard
  • Kyron Gordon 114' yellowcard
  • goal Nathan Ralph 22'
  • goal Tom Hopper 75'
  • goal Leon Chambers-Parillon 80'
  • goal Charley Kendall 101'
  • yellowcard Leon Chambers-Parillon 114'
  • yellowcard Gus Scott-Morriss 117'
National League Gameweek 32
Southend
Feb 15, 2025 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Roots Hall Stadium
Rochdale
  • Gus Scott-Morriss 40' yellowcard
  • Ben Goodliffe 76' yellowcard
  • Macauley Bonne 79' yellowcard
  • Liam Hogan 84' goal
  • yellowcard Sam Beckwith 17'
  • goal Devante Rodney 21'
  • yellowcard Jili Buyabu 71'
  • yellowcard Tobi Adebayo-Rowling 79'
National League Gameweek 14
Rochdale
Oct 19, 2024 5.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Spotland Stadium
Southend
  • Tarryn Allarakhia 26' yellowcard
  • Jili Buyabu 49' yellowcard
  • goal Josh Walker 45'+3'
  • yellowcard Joe Gubbins 55'
  • yellowcard Adam Crowther 79'
  • yellowcard Keenan Appiah-Forson 90'+6'
National League Gameweek 46
Southend
Apr 20, 2024 12.15pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT Roots Hall Stadium
Rochdale
  • Gus Scott-Morriss 8' goal
  • Gus Scott-Morriss 85' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Devante Rodney 14'
  • goal Cian Hayes 42'
  • yellowcard Tiernan Brooks 65'
  • goal Devante Rodney 90'+1'

Form Data

Southend 2 - 0 Forest Green
Southend 1 - 1 Gateshead
Carlisle 2 - 2 Southend
Southend 1 - 1 Truro City
Horsham 1 - 2 Southend
Southend 0 - 2 Boreham Wood
Eastleigh 1 - 3 Rochdale
Rochdale 1 - 0 Boston
Rochdale 3 - 2 Brackley Town
Aldershot 0 - 2 Rochdale
Halifax 2 - 2 Rochdale
Rochdale 3 - 0 Woking