Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rochdale win with a probability of 61%. A draw had a probability of 21.64% and a win for Eastleigh had a probability of 17.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rochdale win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.92%) and 1-2 (10.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.13%) , while for a Eastleigh win it was 1-0 (5.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.