National League Gameweek 38
Mar 14, 2026 5.30pm
Silverlake Stadium

Eastleigh vs Rochdale - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Eastleigh

All competitions
Last game
Mar 7, 2026 3.00pm
York City 3 - 1 Eastleigh
Goals scored
46
Top scorer
Aaron Blair

Rochdale

All competitions
Last game
Mar 7, 2026 3.00pm
Rochdale 1 - 0 Boston
Goals scored
69
Top scorer
Emmanuel Dieseruvwe

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Rochdale win with a probability of 64.61%. A draw has a probability of 20.4% and a win for Eastleigh has a probability of 14.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rochdale win is 0-1 with a probability of 11.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-2 (11.86%) and 1-2 (10.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (9.47%) , while for a Eastleigh win it is 1-0 (4.78%).

Result

Eastleigh 14.99%
Draw 20.4%
Rochdale 64.61%

Both Teams to Score: 

49.4%

Goals

Over 1.5 77.22%
Under 1.5 22.78%
Over 2.5 53.71%
Under 2.5 46.29%
Over 3.5 30.57%
Under 3.5 69.43%
Over 4.5 19.51%
Under 4.5 80.49%

First Half Winner

Eastleigh 18%
Draw 37.21%
Rochdale 44.79%

Team To Score First

Eastleigh 26.77%
No Goal 6.14%
Rochdale 67.09%

Corners

Over 8 53.45%
Equal 8 12.14%
Under 8 34.42%
Over 9 41.5%
Equal 9 11.95%
Under 9 46.55%
Over 10.5 30.72%
Under 10.5 69.28%

Eastleigh Goals

Over 1.5 17.67%
Under 1.5 82.33%
Over 2.5 4.54%
Under 2.5 95.46%
Over 3.5 0.91%
Under 3.5 99.09%

Rochdale Goals

Over 0.5 85.15%
Under 0.5 14.85%
Over 1.5 58.5%
Under 1.5 41.5%
Over 2.5 31.38%
Under 2.5 68.62%
Over 3.5 14.31%
Under 3.5 85.69%

Score analysis

Eastleigh 15%
Draw 20.4%
Rochdale 64.61%
Eastleigh
1-0 @ 4.78%
2-1 @ 4.22%
2-0 @ 2.18%
3-1 @ 1.09%
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 15%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.47%
0-0 @ 6.14%
2-2 @ 4.07%
Other @ 0.03%
Total : 20.4%
Rochdale
0-1 @ 11.87%
0-2 @ 11.86%
1-2 @ 10.22%
0-3 @ 7.82%
1-3 @ 5.9%
2-3 @ 2.66%
Other @ 14.28%
Total : 64.61%

Head to Head

National League
Nov 29, 2025 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Lloyd Humphries 54' goal
  • Tarryn Allarakhia 73' goal
  • yellowcard Josh Lundstram 81'
National League Gameweek 42
Apr 12, 2025 3.00pm
4
0
HT : 4 0
FT Spotland Stadium
  • Devante Rodney 14' goal
  • Devante Rodney 14' goal
  • Luis Fernandez 18' goal
  • Luis Fernandez 18' goal
  • Ian Henderson 64' goal
  • Ian Henderson 64' goal
  • Devante Rodney 76' goal
  • Devante Rodney 76' goal
  • Devante Rodney 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Corey Panter 29'
  • yellowcard Devante Rodney 29'
  • yellowcard Noa Boutin 63'
National League Gameweek 10
Sep 21, 2024 3.00pm
4
2
HT : 2 1
FT Silverlake Stadium
  • Paul McCallum 22' goal
  • Ludwig Francillette 35' goal
  • Tyrese Shade 39' yellowcard
  • Chris Maguire 60' goal
  • Paul McCallum 77' goal
  • Joe McDonnell 90'+6' yellowcard
  • goal Kairo Mitchell 6'
  • yellowcard Sam Beckwith 34'
  • yellowcard David Robson 42'
  • yellowcard Jake Burger 62'
  • goal Devante Rodney 71'
  • yellowcard Kairo Mitchell 75'
  • yellowcard Harvey Gilmour 90'+6'
National League Gameweek 40
Mar 16, 2024 3.00pm
1
4
HT : 1 2
FT Silverlake Stadium
  • Paul McCallum 31' goal
  • Solomon Nwabuokei 56' yellowcard
  • goal Kairo Mitchell 28'
  • goal Jimmy Keohane 44'
  • goal Devante Rodney 71'
  • goal Kairo Mitchell 79'
National League Gameweek 4
Aug 19, 2023 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT Crown Oil Arena
  • Ian Henderson 10' goal
  • Ethan Ebanks-Landell 29' yellowcard
  • Kairo Mitchell 45'+3' goal
  • Cameron John 59' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Solomon Nwabuokei 19'
  • yellowcard Ryan Clampin 35'
  • yellowcard Charlie Carter 45'
  • yellowcard Jake Taylor 52'
  • yellowcard Enzio Boldewijn 80'