National League
Mar 14, 2026 5.30pm
1
3
HT : 0 1
FT Silverlake Stadium
  • Lloyd Humphries 62' yellowcard
  • James Waite 73' yellowcard
  • J. Tabor 73' yellowcard
  • 73' yellowcard
  • 73' yellowcard
  • J. Tabor 88' goal
  • goal Emmanuel Dieseruvwe 16'
  • goal Casey Pettit 61'
  • goal Ethan Ebanks-Landell 69'
  • yellowcard Tyler Smith 72'
  • yellowcard Jake Burger 72'
  • yellowcard Bryant Bilongo 72'
  • yellowcard Devante Rodney 72'
  • yellowcard 72'
  • yellowcard 72'
  • yellowcard E. Francis 79'
  • yellowcard Ian Henderson 79'
  • yellowcard Ian Henderson 80'
  • yellowcard E. Francis 80'
  • yellowcard Tyler Smith 80'

Eastleigh vs Rochdale - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Eastleigh

All competitions
Last game
Mar 10, 2026 7.45pm
Eastleigh 2 - 1 Brackley Town
Goals scored
49
Top scorer
Aaron Blair

Rochdale

All competitions
Last game
Mar 7, 2026 3.00pm
Rochdale 1 - 0 Boston
Goals scored
74
Top scorer
Emmanuel Dieseruvwe

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rochdale win with a probability of 61%. A draw had a probability of 21.64% and a win for Eastleigh had a probability of 17.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rochdale win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.92%) and 1-2 (10.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.13%) , while for a Eastleigh win it was 1-0 (5.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.

Result

Eastleigh 17.31% (+0.18)
Draw 21.64% (+0.08)
Rochdale 61% (-0.36)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.64% (-0.07)

Goals

Over 1.5 77.04% (-0.16)
Under 1.5 22.96% (+0.17)
Over 2.5 53.61% (-0.14)
Under 2.5 46.39% (+0.14)
Over 3.5 30.16% (-0.27)
Under 3.5 69.84% (+0.27)
Over 4.5 18.35% (-0.24)
Under 4.5 81.65% (+0.25)

First Half Winner

Eastleigh 19.09% (+0.06)
Draw 37.96% (+0.04)
Rochdale 42.95% (-0.09)

Team To Score First

Eastleigh 29.16% (+0.22)
No Goal 6.15% (+0.03)
Rochdale 64.69% (-0.24)

Corners

Over 8 54.1% (-0.02)
Equal 8 11.96% (+0.06)
Under 8 33.94% (-0.04)
Over 9 42.27% (-0.06)
Equal 9 11.83% (+0.05)
Under 9 45.9% (+0.02)
Over 10.5 31.54% (-0.09)
Under 10.5 68.46% (+0.09)

Eastleigh Goals

Over 1.5 20.44% (+0.17)
Under 1.5 79.56% (-0.16)
Over 2.5 5.83% (+0.08)
Under 2.5 94.17% (-0.07)
Over 3.5 1.32% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 98.68% (-0.01)

Rochdale Goals

Over 0.5 83.98% (-0.21)
Under 0.5 16.02% (+0.20)
Over 1.5 55.98% (-0.37)
Under 1.5 44.02% (+0.37)
Over 2.5 28.94% (-0.33)
Under 2.5 71.06% (+0.33)
Over 3.5 12.16% (-0.25)
Under 3.5 87.84% (+0.25)

Score analysis

Eastleigh 17.31%
Draw 21.65%
Rochdale 61%
Eastleigh
1-0 @ 5.15% (+0.05)
2-1 @ 4.84% (+0.08)
2-0 @ 2.38% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 1.41% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 1.23%
3-0 @ 1.06% (+0.06)
Other @ 1.24% (+0.02)
Total : 17.31%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.13% (+0.06)
0-0 @ 6.15% (+0.03)
2-2 @ 4.48% (+0.03)
Other @ 0.08%
Total : 21.65%
Rochdale
0-1 @ 11.62% (+0.03)
0-2 @ 10.92% (-0.10)
1-2 @ 10.41% (+0.05)
0-3 @ 7.14% (-0.04)
1-3 @ 5.92% (-0.05)
2-3 @ 2.91% (-0.01)
Other @ 12.08% (-0.25)
Total : 61%

Head to Head

National League
Nov 29, 2025 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Lloyd Humphries 54' goal
  • Tarryn Allarakhia 73' goal
  • yellowcard Josh Lundstram 81'
National League Gameweek 42
Apr 12, 2025 3.00pm
4
0
HT : 4 0
FT Spotland Stadium
  • Devante Rodney 14' goal
  • Devante Rodney 14' goal
  • Luis Fernandez 18' goal
  • Luis Fernandez 18' goal
  • Ian Henderson 64' goal
  • Ian Henderson 64' goal
  • Devante Rodney 76' goal
  • Devante Rodney 76' goal
  • Devante Rodney 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Corey Panter 29'
  • yellowcard Devante Rodney 29'
  • yellowcard Noa Boutin 63'
National League Gameweek 10
Sep 21, 2024 3.00pm
4
2
HT : 2 1
FT Silverlake Stadium
  • Paul McCallum 22' goal
  • Ludwig Francillette 35' goal
  • Tyrese Shade 39' yellowcard
  • Chris Maguire 60' goal
  • Paul McCallum 77' goal
  • Joe McDonnell 90'+6' yellowcard
  • goal Kairo Mitchell 6'
  • yellowcard Sam Beckwith 34'
  • yellowcard David Robson 42'
  • yellowcard Jake Burger 62'
  • goal Devante Rodney 71'
  • yellowcard Kairo Mitchell 75'
  • yellowcard Harvey Gilmour 90'+6'
National League Gameweek 40
Mar 16, 2024 3.00pm
1
4
HT : 1 2
FT Silverlake Stadium
  • Paul McCallum 31' goal
  • Solomon Nwabuokei 56' yellowcard
  • goal Kairo Mitchell 28'
  • goal Jimmy Keohane 44'
  • goal Devante Rodney 71'
  • goal Kairo Mitchell 79'
National League Gameweek 4
Aug 19, 2023 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT Crown Oil Arena
  • Ian Henderson 10' goal
  • Ethan Ebanks-Landell 29' yellowcard
  • Kairo Mitchell 45'+3' goal
  • Cameron John 59' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Solomon Nwabuokei 19'
  • yellowcard Ryan Clampin 35'
  • yellowcard Charlie Carter 45'
  • yellowcard Jake Taylor 52'
  • yellowcard Enzio Boldewijn 80'