Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rochdale win with a probability of 65.51%. A draw had a probability of 20.54% and a win for Brackley Town had a probability of 13.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rochdale win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.55%) and 2-1 (10.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.83%) , while for a Brackley Town win it was 0-1 (4.53%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.