Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rochdale win with a probability of 42.99%. A win for Halifax Town had a probability of 30.15% and a draw had a probability of 26.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rochdale win was 0-1 with a probability of 11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.16%) and 0-2 (7.98%). The likeliest Halifax Town win was 1-0 (9.18%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.