Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southport win with a probability of 44.42%. A win for Yeovil Town had a probability of 29.9% and a draw had a probability of 25.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southport win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.24%) and 2-0 (7.06%). The likeliest Yeovil Town win was 0-1 (7.72%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.