Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chester FC win with a probability of 52.44%. A draw had a probability of 25.17% and a win for Southport had a probability of 22.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chester FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (10.15%) and 2-0 (8.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.77%) , while for a Southport win it was 0-1 (6.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.