National League North
Mar 21, 2026 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT Lookers Vauxhall Stadium
  • Dylan Mottley-Henry 56' goal
  • goal Chris Sze 90'+1'
  • goal Danny Lloyd 90'+4'

Chester FC vs Southport - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Chester FC

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Mar 14, 2026 3.00pm
Kidderminster 1 - 1 Chester
Goals scored
58
Top scorer
Finley Shrimpton

Southport

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Mar 17, 2026 7.45pm
Southport 2 - 1 Alfreton
Goals scored
54
Top scorer
Malakai McKenzie

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chester FC win with a probability of 52.44%. A draw had a probability of 25.17% and a win for Southport had a probability of 22.39%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chester FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (10.15%) and 2-0 (8.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.77%) , while for a Southport win it was 0-1 (6.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.

Result

Chester FC 52.44% (-0.11)
Draw 25.17% (+0.09)
Southport 22.39% (+0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.1% (-0.05)

Goals

Over 1.5 75.47% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 24.53% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 51.73% (-0.05)
Under 2.5 48.27% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 29.27% (-0.11)
Under 3.5 70.68% (+0.07)
Over 4.5 16.82% (-0.08)
Under 4.5 83.18% (+0.08)

First Half Winner

Chester FC 36.93%
Draw 41.5%
Southport 21.57%

Team To Score First

Chester FC 56.9% (-0.08)
No Goal 6.85% (+0.03)
Southport 36.25% (+0.05)

Corners

Over 8 59.33% (+0.01)
Equal 8 11.37% (-0.02)
Under 8 29.29% (-0.02)
Over 9 47.6% (+0.03)
Equal 9 11.74%
Under 9 40.67% (-0.02)
Over 10.5 36.5% (+0.03)
Under 10.5 63.5% (-0.03)

Chester FC Goals

Over 1.5 49.48% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 50.52% (+0.08)
Over 2.5 23.61% (-0.09)
Under 2.5 76.39% (+0.08)
Over 3.5 8.96% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 91.04% (+0.05)

Southport Goals

Over 0.5 59.25% (+0.10)
Under 0.5 40.75% (-0.10)
Over 1.5 25.49% (+0.06)
Under 1.5 74.51% (-0.06)
Over 2.5 8.14% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 91.86% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 2.23%
Under 3.5 97.77%

Score analysis

Chester FC 52.44%
Draw 25.17%
Southport 22.4%
Chester FC
1-0 @ 11.19%
2-1 @ 10.15% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 8.82% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 5.34% (-0.04)
3-0 @ 5.15% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 3.04% (-0.03)
Other @ 8.75% (-0.06)
Total : 52.44%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.77% (+0.03)
0-0 @ 6.85% (+0.03)
2-2 @ 5.22% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.12%
Other @ 0.21% (+0.01)
Total : 25.17%
Southport
0-1 @ 6.5% (+0.02)
1-2 @ 5.95% (+0.04)
0-2 @ 3.14% (+0.03)
1-3 @ 1.9% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.68%
0-3 @ 1.21% (+0.04)
Other @ 2.02% (-0.01)
Total : 22.4%

Head to Head

National League North
Nov 11, 2025 7.45pm
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT
National League North Gameweek 44
Apr 18, 2025 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Haig Avenue
  • goal Connor Woods 73'
National League North Gameweek 24
Jan 1, 2025 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Lookers Vauxhall Stadium
  • Jack Bainbridge 9' yellowcard
  • George Glendon 75' yellowcard
National League North Gameweek 39
Mar 12, 2024 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Lookers Vauxhall Stadium
  • goal Richie Bennett 74'
National League North Gameweek 14
Oct 24, 2023 7.45pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Haig Avenue
  • goal George Glendon 8'
  • goal Elliott Whitehouse 56'
National League North Gameweek 43
Apr 10, 2023 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT Haig Avenue
  • Niall Watson 56' goal
  • goal Elliott Whitehouse 49'
  • goal Kurt Willoughby 63'