National League North
Apr 6, 2026 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT The Marine Travel Arena
  • Finlay Sinclair-Smith 12' goal
  • Charlie Jolley 31' goal
  • goal Owen German 71'

Marine AFC vs Chorley - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Marine AFC

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Apr 3, 2026 3.00pm
Southport 2 - 1 Marine AFC
Goals scored
53
Top scorer
Charlie Jolley

Chorley

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Apr 3, 2026 3.00pm
Chorley 2 - 0 Fylde
Goals scored
63
Top scorer
Anjola Popoola

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marine AFC win with a probability of 39.88%. A win for Chorley had a probability of 34.31% and a draw had a probability of 25.81%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marine AFC win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.69%) and 2-0 (6.09%). The likeliest Chorley win was 1-2 (8.28%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.97%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.

Result

Marine AFC 39.88% (+0.07)
Draw 25.81%
Chorley 34.31% (-0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.36%

Goals

Over 1.5 76.98% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 23.02% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 53.82% (-0.03)
Under 2.5 46.18% (+0.03)
Over 3.5 31.13% (-0.09)
Under 3.5 68.87% (+0.10)
Over 4.5 17.24% (-0.06)
Under 4.5 82.76% (+0.06)

First Half Winner

Marine AFC 31.61%
Draw 43.08%
Chorley 25.31%

Team To Score First

Marine AFC 49.96%
No Goal 6.33% (+0.01)
Chorley 43.71% (-0.01)

Corners

Over 8 55.65% (+0.05)
Equal 8 11.61% (-0.01)
Under 8 32.74% (-0.04)
Over 9 44.03% (+0.07)
Equal 9 11.63%
Under 9 44.35% (-0.05)
Over 10.5 33.33% (+0.05)
Under 10.5 66.67% (-0.05)

Marine AFC Goals

Over 1.5 41.14% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 58.86% (-0.03)
Over 2.5 17.76% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 82.24% (-0.03)
Over 3.5 6.13% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 93.87% (-0.01)

Chorley Goals

Over 0.5 69.62% (-0.08)
Under 0.5 30.38% (+0.08)
Over 1.5 36.75% (-0.10)
Under 1.5 63.25% (+0.10)
Over 2.5 14.44% (-0.08)
Under 2.5 85.56% (+0.08)
Over 3.5 4.69% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 95.31% (+0.04)

Score analysis

Marine AFC 39.88%
Draw 25.81%
Chorley 34.31%
Marine AFC
1-0 @ 8.77% (+0.02)
2-1 @ 8.69% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 6.09% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 4.29%
3-0 @ 3.25% (+0.03)
3-2 @ 2.85% (-0.01)
Other @ 5.94% (+0.02)
Total : 39.88%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.97% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 6.33% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 6.08% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.24% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 25.81%
Chorley
1-2 @ 8.28% (+0.01)
0-1 @ 7.92% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 5.1% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 3.53% (-0.03)
2-3 @ 2.52% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 2.46%
Other @ 4.5% (-0.04)
Total : 34.31%

Head to Head

National League North
Dec 30, 2025 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Mike Calveley 35' goal
  • Harry Ibbitson 77' goal
  • goal Adam Thomas 59'
National League North Gameweek 43
Apr 12, 2025 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT The Chorley Group Victory Park Stadium
National League North Gameweek 16
Nov 5, 2024 7.45pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT The Marine Travel Arena
  • Owen Robinson 23' yellowcard
  • Enock Lusiama 41' goal
  • Harvey Gregson 50' yellowcard
  • Enock Lusiama 56' goal
  • Finlay Sinclair-Smith 62' goal
  • James Butler 79' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Harvey Smith 81'
  • yellowcard Jack Moore 85'