National League North Gameweek 43
Apr 6, 2026 3.00pm
The Marine Travel Arena

Marine AFC vs Chorley - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Marine AFC

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Mar 31, 2026 7.45pm
Fylde 2 - 0 Marine AFC
Goals scored
50
Top scorer
Charlie Jolley

Chorley

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Mar 31, 2026 7.45pm
Alfreton 1 - 0 Chorley
Goals scored
60
Top scorer
Anjola Popoola

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Marine AFC win with a probability of 41.15%. A win for Chorley has a probability of 32.74% and a draw has a probability of 26.11%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marine AFC win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.08%) and 2-0 (6.43%). The likeliest Chorley win is 1-2 (7.94%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.01%).

Result

Marine AFC 41.15% (-0.83)
Draw 26.11% (+0.24)
Chorley 32.74% (+0.60)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.51% (-0.68)

Goals

Over 1.5 76.29% (-0.68)
Under 1.5 23.71% (+0.68)
Over 2.5 53.05% (-0.85)
Under 2.5 46.95% (+0.85)
Over 3.5 29.87% (-1.00)
Under 3.5 70.13% (+1.00)
Over 4.5 16.9% (-0.72)
Under 4.5 83.1% (+0.71)

First Half Winner

Marine AFC 32.37% (+0.62)
Draw 42.51% (-0.60)
Chorley 25.13% (-0.02)

Team To Score First

Marine AFC 50.48% (-0.17)
No Goal 6.71% (+0.21)
Chorley 42.81% (-0.05)

Corners

Over 8 56.63% (-1.81)
Equal 8 11.74% (+0.01)
Under 8 31.64% (+1.82)
Over 9 44.77% (-1.63)
Equal 9 11.86% (-0.17)
Under 9 43.37% (+1.81)
Over 10.5 33.8% (-1.34)
Under 10.5 66.2% (+1.33)

Marine AFC Goals

Over 1.5 41.75% (-1.11)
Under 1.5 58.25% (+1.11)
Over 2.5 18.13% (-0.82)
Under 2.5 81.87% (+0.82)
Over 3.5 6.53% (-0.38)
Under 3.5 93.47% (+0.38)

Chorley Goals

Over 0.5 67.93% (+0.15)
Under 0.5 32.07% (-0.15)
Over 1.5 34.88% (-0.06)
Under 1.5 65.12% (+0.07)
Over 2.5 13.77%
Under 2.5 86.23%
Over 3.5 4.38% (-0.07)
Under 3.5 95.62% (+0.07)

Score analysis

Marine AFC 41.14%
Draw 26.11%
Chorley 32.74%
Marine AFC
1-0 @ 9.13% (+0.12)
2-1 @ 9.08% (-0.10)
2-0 @ 6.43% (-0.07)
3-1 @ 4.1% (-0.19)
3-0 @ 3.56% (-0.05)
3-2 @ 2.61% (-0.19)
Other @ 6.23% (-0.38)
Total : 41.14%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.01% (+0.15)
0-0 @ 6.71% (+0.21)
2-2 @ 5.76% (-0.09)
3-3 @ 1.33% (-0.04)
Other @ 0.3% (+0.02)
Total : 26.11%
Chorley
1-2 @ 7.94% (+0.14)
0-1 @ 7.86% (+0.35)
0-2 @ 4.8% (+0.09)
1-3 @ 3.11% (-0.03)
0-3 @ 2.6% (+0.17)
2-3 @ 2.35% (-0.05)
Other @ 4.08% (-0.08)
Total : 32.74%

Head to Head

National League North
Dec 30, 2025 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Mike Calveley 35' goal
  • Harry Ibbitson 77' goal
  • goal Adam Thomas 59'
National League North Gameweek 43
Apr 12, 2025 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT The Chorley Group Victory Park Stadium
National League North Gameweek 16
Nov 5, 2024 7.45pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT The Marine Travel Arena
  • Owen Robinson 23' yellowcard
  • Enock Lusiama 41' goal
  • Harvey Gregson 50' yellowcard
  • Enock Lusiama 56' goal
  • Finlay Sinclair-Smith 62' goal
  • James Butler 79' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Harvey Smith 81'
  • yellowcard Jack Moore 85'