National League North Gameweek 42
Apr 3, 2026 3.00pm
The Chorley Group Victory Park Stadium

Chorley vs Fylde - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Chorley

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Mar 31, 2026 7.45pm
Alfreton 1 - 0 Chorley
Goals scored
60
Top scorer
Anjola Popoola

Fylde

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Mar 31, 2026 7.45pm
Fylde 2 - 0 Marine AFC
Goals scored
98
Top scorer
Danny Ormerod

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Fylde win with a probability of 45.71%. A win for Chorley has a probability of 29.88% and a draw has a probability of 24.41%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fylde win is 1-2 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (8.98%) and 0-2 (7%). The likeliest Chorley win is 2-1 (7.28%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.23%).

Result

Chorley 29.88% (-0.06)
Draw 24.41%
Fylde 45.71% (+0.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.94% (-0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 78.46% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 21.54% (+0.03)
Over 2.5 55.95% (-0.05)
Under 2.5 44.05% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 33.18% (-0.05)
Under 3.5 66.82% (+0.05)
Over 4.5 19.39% (-0.04)
Under 4.5 80.61% (+0.04)

First Half Winner

Chorley 27.22%
Draw 40.31%
Fylde 32.46%

Team To Score First

Chorley 42.34% (-0.01)
No Goal 5.75% (+0.01)
Fylde 51.91%

Corners

Over 8 54.35% (-0.12)
Equal 8 12.02%
Under 8 33.64% (+0.14)
Over 9 42.42% (-0.11)
Equal 9 11.92% (-0.02)
Under 9 45.65% (+0.11)
Over 10.5 31.58% (-0.09)
Under 10.5 68.42% (+0.08)

Chorley Goals

Over 1.5 33.74% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 66.26% (+0.08)
Over 2.5 13.03% (-0.05)
Under 2.5 86.97% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 4.2% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 95.8% (+0.02)

Fylde Goals

Over 0.5 77.07% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 22.93% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 46.53% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 53.47% (-0.01)
Over 2.5 21.78% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 78.22% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 8.4% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 91.6% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Chorley 29.87%
Draw 24.41%
Fylde 45.7%
Chorley
2-1 @ 7.28% (-0.01)
1-0 @ 6.79%
2-0 @ 4.29%
3-1 @ 3.05% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.38% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 2.05%
Other @ 4.03% (-0.02)
Total : 29.87%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.23%
2-2 @ 5.91% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 5.75% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.35%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.41%
Fylde
1-2 @ 9.46%
0-1 @ 8.98% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 7% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 4.82%
0-3 @ 3.98% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 3.23% (-0.02)
Other @ 8.23% (+0.01)
Total : 45.7%

Head to Head

National League North
Dec 26, 2025 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Danny Ormerod 17' goal
National League North Gameweek 26
Jan 1, 2023 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT The Chorley Group Victory Park Stadium
  • goal Alex Whitmore 90'+2'
National League North Gameweek 25
Dec 26, 2022 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT Mill Farm Stadium
  • Siyabonga Ligendza 3' goal
  • goal Connor Hall 7'
  • goal Jonathan Ustabasi 84'
National League North Gameweek 20
Jan 25, 2022 7.45pm
2
2
HT : 0 2
FT
  • Jonathan Ustabasi 59' goal
  • Mike Calveley 90'+5' goal
  • goal Nick Haughton 3'
  • goal Nick Haughton 16'
National League North Gameweek 18
Dec 26, 2021 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 2
FT
  • Ben Tollitt 52' goal
  • goal Scott Leather 20'
  • goal Ollie Shenton 41'
National League North Gameweek 16
Jan 2, 2021 3.00pm
4
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Ben Tollitt 42' goal
  • Danny Philliskirk 67' goal
  • Ben Tollitt 74' goal
  • Ben Tollitt 87' goal