Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fylde win with a probability of 45.71%. A win for Chorley had a probability of 29.88% and a draw had a probability of 24.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fylde win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.98%) and 0-2 (7%). The likeliest Chorley win was 2-1 (7.28%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.