Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Scarborough Athletic win with a probability of 43.6%. A win for Chorley had a probability of 29.43% and a draw had a probability of 27.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Scarborough Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.05%) and 2-0 (7.57%). The likeliest Chorley win was 0-1 (8.59%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.79%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.