National League North Gameweek 41
Mar 28, 2026 3.00pm
Flamingo Land Stadium

Scarborough Athletic vs Chorley - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Scarborough Athletic

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Mar 21, 2026 3.00pm
Leamington 1 - 2 Scarborough Ath
Goals scored
54
Top scorer
Stephen Walker

Chorley

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Mar 21, 2026 3.00pm
Oxford City 2 - 0 Chorley
Goals scored
60
Top scorer
Anjola Popoola

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Scarborough Athletic win with a probability of 43.6%. A win for Chorley has a probability of 29.43% and a draw has a probability of 27.02%.

The most likely scoreline for a Scarborough Athletic win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.05%) and 2-0 (7.57%). The likeliest Chorley win is 0-1 (8.59%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.79%).

Result

Scarborough Athletic 43.6% (-0.06)
Draw 27.02% (+0.08)
Chorley 29.43% (+0.09)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.78% (-0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 71.82% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 28.18% (+0.01)
Over 2.5 46.78% (-0.08)
Under 2.5 53.22% (+0.08)
Over 3.5 24.93% (-0.06)
Under 3.5 75.07% (+0.05)
Over 4.5 13.41% (-0.04)
Under 4.5 86.59% (+0.05)

First Half Winner

Scarborough Athletic 31.26% (-0.06)
Draw 42.73% (-0.02)
Chorley 26.01% (+0.08)

Team To Score First

Scarborough Athletic 48.96% (-0.18)
No Goal 8.25% (+0.04)
Chorley 42.79% (+0.15)

Corners

Over 8 52.76% (+0.08)
Equal 8 12.07% (+0.07)
Under 8 35.17% (-0.15)
Over 9 40.94% (+0.02)
Equal 9 11.82% (+0.07)
Under 9 47.24% (-0.08)
Over 10.5 30.31% (-0.06)
Under 10.5 69.69% (+0.05)

Scarborough Athletic Goals

Over 1.5 40% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 60% (+0.08)
Over 2.5 16.6% (-0.08)
Under 2.5 83.4% (+0.08)
Over 3.5 5.45% (-0.05)
Under 3.5 94.55% (+0.04)

Chorley Goals

Over 0.5 63.7% (+0.10)
Under 0.5 36.3% (-0.10)
Over 1.5 29.22% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 70.78% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 10.07%
Under 2.5 89.93%
Over 3.5 2.91% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 97.09% (-0.01)

Score analysis

Scarborough Athletic 43.6%
Draw 27.01%
Chorley 29.42%
Scarborough Athletic
1-0 @ 11.37% (+0.02)
2-1 @ 9.05% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 7.57% (+0.02)
3-1 @ 4.05% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 3.77% (-0.03)
3-2 @ 2.42%
Other @ 5.37% (-0.05)
Total : 43.6%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.79% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 8.25% (+0.04)
2-2 @ 4.98%
Other @ 0.08%
Total : 27.01%
Chorley
0-1 @ 8.59% (+0.06)
1-2 @ 7.04%
0-2 @ 4.71% (+0.05)
1-3 @ 2.47%
0-3 @ 1.98%
2-3 @ 1.8% (-0.02)
Other @ 2.83% (+0.02)
Total : 29.42%

Head to Head

National League North
Aug 19, 2025 7.45pm
2
2
HT : 0 0
LIVE
National League North Gameweek 29
Jan 28, 2025 7.45pm
2
3
HT : 1 1
FT Flamingo Land Stadium
  • William Thornton 34' goal
  • Alex Purver 58' goal
  • goal Dubem Eze 44'
  • goal Mike Calveley 63'
  • goal Mark Ellis 70'
National League North Gameweek 3
Aug 20, 2024 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT The Chorley Group Victory Park Stadium
  • Craig Hewitt 10' goal
  • Craig Hewitt 36' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Kieran Weledji 28'
  • goal Richie Bennett 50'
  • yellowcard Alex Purver 54'
  • goal Frank Mulhern 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Frank Mulhern 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Cameron Wilson 90'+4'
National League North Gameweek 40
Mar 16, 2024 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT The Chorley Group Victory Park Stadium
  • Jack Hazlehurst 45'+1' goal
  • Mike Calveley 56' goal
  • Carlton Ubaezuonu 86' goal
National League North Gameweek 17
Nov 7, 2023 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Flamingo Land Stadium
  • Kieran Weledji 59' goal
  • goal Carlton Ubaezuonu 27'
National League North Gameweek 43
Apr 10, 2023 3.00pm
2
3
HT : 2 1
FT The Chorley Group Victory Park Stadium
  • Adam Blakeman 3' goal
  • Jack Sampson 20' goal
  • goal Kieran Weledji 10'
  • goal Danny Greenfield 69'
  • goal Danny Greenfield 77'