National League North
Gameweek
29
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Joe Cummings
25'
Alfreton Town vs Chorley - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alfreton Town win with a probability of 36.57%. A win for Chorley had a probability of 35.93% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Alfreton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.09%) and 2-0 (6.17%). The likeliest Chorley win was 0-1 (10.12%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood.
Result
Alfreton Town
36.57%
▲
(+0.03)
Draw
27.5%
▼
(-0.02)
Chorley
35.93%
▲
(+0.05)
Both Teams to Score:
51.37%
▲
(+0.09)
Goals
Over 1.5
71.2%
▲
(+0.14)
Under 1.5
28.8%
▼
(-0.13)
Over 2.5
46.13%
▲
(+0.08)
Under 2.5
53.87%
▼
(-0.08)
Over 3.5
24.67%
▲
(+0.09)
Under 3.5
75.33%
▼
(-0.08)
Over 4.5
13.04%
▲
(+0.05)
Under 4.5
86.96%
▼
(-0.06)
First Half Winner
Alfreton Town
27.66%
Draw
44.27%
▼
(-0.01)
Chorley
28.07%
▲
(+0.02)
Team To Score First
Alfreton Town
44.57%
▲
(+0.17)
No Goal
8.53%
▼
(-0.03)
Chorley
46.9%
▼
(-0.15)
Corners
Over 8
57.7%
▲
(+0.22)
Equal 8
11.72%
▲
(+0.03)
Under 8
30.58%
▼
(-0.24)
Over 9
45.76%
▲
(+0.17)
Equal 9
11.95%
▲
(+0.05)
Under 9
42.3%
▼
(-0.22)
Over 10.5
34.62%
▲
(+0.12)
Under 10.5
65.38%
▼
(-0.13)
Alfreton Town Goals
Over 1.5
34.57%
▲
(+0.07)
Under 1.5
65.43%
▼
(-0.06)
Over 2.5
13.17%
▲
(+0.03)
Under 2.5
86.83%
▼
(-0.04)
Over 3.5
3.97%
Under 3.5
96.03%
Chorley Goals
Over 0.5
68.59%
▲
(+0.10)
Under 0.5
31.41%
▼
(-0.09)
Over 1.5
34.16%
▲
(+0.08)
Under 1.5
65.84%
▼
(-0.08)
Over 2.5
12.68%
▲
(+0.03)
Under 2.5
87.32%
▼
(-0.04)
Over 3.5
3.98%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 3.5
96.02%
▼
(-0.02)
Score analysis
Alfreton Town
36.57%
Draw
27.5%
Chorley
35.93%
Alfreton Town
1-0
@
10.15%
▼
(-0.03)
2-1 @ 8.09%
2-0 @ 6.17% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 3.37% ▲ (+0.03)
3-0 @ 2.68% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.23% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 3.88% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 36.57%
2-1 @ 8.09%
2-0 @ 6.17% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 3.37% ▲ (+0.03)
3-0 @ 2.68% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.23% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 3.88% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 36.57%
Draw
1-1
@
12.85%
▲
(+0.01)
0-0 @ 8.53% ▼ (-0.03)
2-2 @ 5.11%
Other @ 0.09% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 27.5%
0-0 @ 8.53% ▼ (-0.03)
2-2 @ 5.11%
Other @ 0.09% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 27.5%
Chorley
0-1
@
10.12%
▼
(-0.03)
1-2 @ 8.08%
0-2 @ 6.06% ▲ (+0.03)
1-3 @ 3.15% ▲ (+0.03)
0-3 @ 2.6% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.03% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.89% ▲ (+0.03)
Total : 35.93%
1-2 @ 8.08%
0-2 @ 6.06% ▲ (+0.03)
1-3 @ 3.15% ▲ (+0.03)
0-3 @ 2.6% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.03% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.89% ▲ (+0.03)
Total : 35.93%
