National League North Gameweek 41
Mar 28, 2026 3.00pm
Mariners Park

South Shields vs Alfreton Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

South Shields

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Mar 21, 2026 3.00pm
South Shields 4 - 1 Merthyr Town
Goals scored
80
Top scorer
Paul Blackett

Alfreton Town

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Mar 24, 2026 7.45pm
Alfreton 0 - 2 Macclesfield
Goals scored
35
Top scorer
J. Ayres

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a South Shields win with a probability of 76.85%. A draw has a probability of 14.39% and a win for Alfreton Town has a probability of 8.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a South Shields win is 2-0 with a probability of 11.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 3-0 (10.06%) and 1-0 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (6.73%) , while for a Alfreton Town win it is 0-1 (2.63%).

Result

South Shields 76.85%
Draw 14.39%
Alfreton Town 8.74%

Both Teams to Score: 

48.59%

Goals

Over 1.5 84.35% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 15.65% (+0.01)
Over 2.5 64.96%
Under 2.5 35.04%
Over 3.5 42.95% (-0.08)
Under 3.5 57.05% (+0.08)
Over 4.5 31.78% (-0.04)
Under 4.5 68.22% (+0.04)

First Half Winner

South Shields 53.35%
Draw 31.76%
Alfreton Town 14.89%

Team To Score First

South Shields 73.21%
No Goal 3.69%
Alfreton Town 23.1%

Corners

Over 8 49.58% (-0.11)
Equal 8 11.64% (-0.01)
Under 8 38.79% (+0.12)
Over 9 38.46% (-0.08)
Equal 9 11.12% (-0.03)
Under 9 50.42% (+0.11)
Over 10.5 28.66% (-0.04)
Under 10.5 71.34% (+0.05)

South Shields Goals

Over 1.5 72.3% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 27.7% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 47.63% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 52.37% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 26.66% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 73.34% (+0.02)

Alfreton Town Goals

Over 0.5 38.74% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 61.26% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 13.09% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 86.91% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 3.13% (-0.03)
Under 2.5 96.87% (+0.03)
Over 3.5 0.7% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 99.3% (+0.01)

Score analysis

South Shields 76.84%
Draw 14.4%
Alfreton Town 8.73%
South Shields
2-0 @ 11.56%
3-0 @ 10.06% (+0.01)
1-0 @ 9.3%
2-1 @ 9.06% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 7.23% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.01% (-0.02)
Other @ 26.62% (-0.01)
Total : 76.84%
Draw
1-1 @ 6.73% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 3.69%
2-2 @ 3.27%
Other @ 0.04%
Total : 14.4%
Alfreton Town
0-1 @ 2.63% (-0.02)
1-2 @ 2.57% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 1.11%
Other @ 0.66% (-0.02)
Total : 8.73%

Head to Head

National League North
Aug 19, 2025 7.45pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT
National League North Gameweek 35
Feb 25, 2025 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT Mariners Park
  • Paul Blackett 6' goal
  • Kyle Crossley 26' goal
  • goal Lewis Salmon 88'
National League North Gameweek 19
Nov 26, 2024 8.00pm
2
4
HT : 1 1
FT The Impact Arena
  • Lewis Salmon 32' goal
  • George Cantrill 34' yellowcard
  • George Willis 36' yellowcard
  • George Willis 41' redcard
  • Adam Anson 65' yellowcard
  • Jed Abbey 90'+6' goal
  • goal Paul Blackett 37'
  • goal Paul Blackett 56'
  • yellowcard Iestyn Hughes 71'
  • goal Coleby Shepherd 85'
  • goal Coleby Shepherd 90'+4'
National League North Gameweek 29
Feb 13, 2024 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT The Impact Arena
  • Jordan Thewlis 7' goal
National League North Gameweek 1
Aug 5, 2023 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 0 0
FT Mariners Park
  • Aaron Martin 54' goal
  • Jed Abbey 64' goal
  • Jed Abbey 90'+3' goal
  • goal Shaun Brisley 63'
  • redcard D. Wiley 90'+1'