Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a South Shields win with a probability of 76.85%. A draw had a probability of 14.39% and a win for Alfreton Town had a probability of 8.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a South Shields win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.06%) and 1-0 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.73%) , while for a Alfreton Town win it was 0-1 (2.63%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.