National League North
Apr 11, 2026 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT The Impact Arena
  • Dylan Youmbi 51' goal
  • goal Ewan Clark 7'

Alfreton Town vs Oxford City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Alfreton Town

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Apr 6, 2026 3.00pm
Leamington 1 - 2 Alfreton
Goals scored
42
Top scorer
J. Ayres

Oxford City

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Apr 6, 2026 3.00pm
Oxford City 2 - 0 P'boro Sports
Goals scored
55
Top scorer
Ewan Clark

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alfreton Town win with a probability of 43.15%. A win for Oxford City had a probability of 29.92% and a draw had a probability of 26.93%.

The most likely scoreline for a Alfreton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.06%) and 2-0 (7.39%). The likeliest Oxford City win was 0-1 (8.49%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.

Result

Alfreton Town 43.15% (-0.03)
Draw 26.93% (-0.02)
Oxford City 29.92% (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.82% (-0.01)

Goals

Over 1.5 72.61% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 27.39% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 47.78% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 52.22% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 26.12% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 73.83% (-0.02)
Over 4.5 13.96%
Under 4.5 86.04%

First Half Winner

Alfreton Town 30.2%
Draw 44.55%
Oxford City 25.25%

Team To Score First

Alfreton Town 50.76% (+0.01)
No Goal 7.9% (-0.01)
Oxford City 41.34%

Corners

Over 8 50.61%
Equal 8 12.02%
Under 8 37.37%
Over 9 39.03%
Equal 9 11.58%
Under 9 49.39%
Over 10.5 28.78%
Under 10.5 71.22%

Alfreton Town Goals

Over 1.5 40.49% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 59.51% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 16.84% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 83.16% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 5.59% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 94.41% (+0.01)

Oxford City Goals

Over 0.5 64.75% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 35.25% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 30.36%
Under 1.5 69.64%
Over 2.5 10.46% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 89.54% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 3.02%
Under 3.5 96.98%

Score analysis

Alfreton Town 43.15%
Draw 26.93%
Oxford City 29.92%
Alfreton Town
1-0 @ 11%
2-1 @ 9.06% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 7.39% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 4.2%
3-0 @ 3.51% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.54%
Other @ 5.45%
Total : 43.15%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.64%
0-0 @ 7.9% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.25%
3-3 @ 1%
Other @ 0.14% (-0.01)
Total : 26.93%
Oxford City
0-1 @ 8.49%
1-2 @ 7.31%
0-2 @ 4.8% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.7%
2-3 @ 1.95%
0-3 @ 1.79% (-0.02)
Other @ 2.88% (+0.01)
Total : 29.92%

Head to Head

National League North
Sep 2, 2025 7.45pm
5
0
HT : 0 0
FT
National League North Gameweek 39
Mar 15, 2025 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT The Impact Arena
  • George Cantrill 84' goal
  • goal Zac McEachran 10'
  • redcard Jalen Jones 55'
National League North Gameweek 11
Nov 19, 2024 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT Court Place Farm
  • Josh Parker 10' goal
  • Alfie Potter 22' yellowcard
  • Jayden Carbon 43' yellowcard
  • Reece Fleet 80' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Adam Anson 36'
  • yellowcard Josh Clackstone 60'
  • goal Adam Anson 65'
  • goal Jake Day 66'
  • yellowcard Adam Lund 88'