National League North
Apr 6, 2026 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT The Phillips 66 Community Stadium
  • Tyrone Lewthwaite 28' goal
  • goal Dylan Youmbi 58'
  • goal Adam Lund 73'

Leamington FC vs Alfreton Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Leamington FC

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Apr 3, 2026 3.00pm
Bedford 3 - 1 Leamington
Goals scored
35
Top scorer
Max Brogan

Alfreton Town

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Apr 3, 2026 3.00pm
Alfreton 1 - 1 Worksop
Goals scored
39
Top scorer
J. Ayres

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leamington FC win with a probability of 56.68%. A draw had a probability of 22.59% and a win for Alfreton Town had a probability of 20.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leamington FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.92%) and 2-0 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.45%) , while for a Alfreton Town win it was 1-2 (5.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.

Result

Leamington FC 56.68% (+7.54)
Draw 22.59% (-1.70)
Alfreton Town 20.73% (-5.82)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.85% (+0.58)

Goals

Over 1.5 78.46% (+1.74)
Under 1.5 21.54% (-1.75)
Over 2.5 55.96% (+2.79)
Under 2.5 44.04% (-2.79)
Over 3.5 33.75% (+3.16)
Under 3.5 66.25% (-3.16)
Over 4.5 20.78% (+3.02)
Under 4.5 79.22% (-3.02)

First Half Winner

Leamington FC 35.94% (+1.47)
Draw 40.45% (+0.47)
Alfreton Town 23.6% (-1.94)

Team To Score First

Leamington FC 56.98% (+2.30)
No Goal 5.65% (-0.62)
Alfreton Town 37.37% (-1.68)

Corners

Over 8 61.06% (+0.43)
Equal 8 11.51% (+0.37)
Under 8 27.43% (-0.79)
Over 9 49% (-0.04)
Equal 9 12.06% (+0.47)
Under 9 38.94% (-0.43)
Over 10.5 37.47% (-0.49)
Under 10.5 62.53% (+0.49)

Leamington FC Goals

Over 1.5 54.48% (+7.09)
Under 1.5 45.52% (-7.09)
Over 2.5 28.32% (+6.04)
Under 2.5 71.68% (-6.04)
Over 3.5 12.43% (+3.69)
Under 3.5 87.57% (-3.70)

Alfreton Town Goals

Over 0.5 56.56% (-5.65)
Under 0.5 43.44% (+5.65)
Over 1.5 25.06% (-4.27)
Under 1.5 74.94% (+4.27)
Over 2.5 8.47% (-1.81)
Under 2.5 91.53% (+1.82)
Over 3.5 2.42% (-0.63)
Under 3.5 97.58% (+0.63)

Score analysis

Leamington FC 56.68%
Draw 22.59%
Alfreton Town 20.71%
Leamington FC
1-0 @ 10.49% (+0.26)
2-1 @ 9.92% (+0.26)
2-0 @ 9.32% (+1.17)
3-0 @ 5.77% (+1.26)
3-1 @ 5.75% (+0.84)
3-2 @ 3.24% (+0.19)
Other @ 12.19% (+3.56)
Total : 56.68%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.45% (-1.08)
0-0 @ 5.65% (-0.62)
2-2 @ 5.12% (-0.21)
3-3 @ 1.13% (+0.07)
Other @ 0.24% (+0.13)
Total : 22.59%
Alfreton Town
1-2 @ 5.48% (-1.30)
0-1 @ 5.38% (-1.41)
0-2 @ 2.75% (-1.13)
1-3 @ 2.08% (-0.51)
2-3 @ 1.8% (-0.16)
0-3 @ 1.04% (-0.59)
Other @ 2.18% (-0.76)
Total : 20.71%

Head to Head

National League North
Dec 30, 2025 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Mark Beck 27' goal
  • Lewis Salmon 71' goal
  • goal Joe Clarke 43'
  • redcard <TBD> 90'+7'
  • redcard Joe Clarke 90'+7'
National League North Gameweek 29
Mar 25, 2025 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT The Impact Arena
  • Liam Waldock 78' goal
National League North Gameweek 3
Aug 20, 2024 7.45pm
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT The Phillips 66 Community Stadium
  • Dan Meredith 25' yellowcard
  • George Ward 59' goal
  • Anthony Lynn 85' goal
  • yellowcard George Cantrill 33'
  • goal David Moyo 50'
  • goal Jed Abbey 90'+5'
National League North Gameweek 41
Apr 1, 2023 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT The Impact Arena
  • Bailey Hobson 56' goal
  • Matt Rhead 75' goal
National League North Gameweek 12
Oct 8, 2022 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT The Phillips 66 Community Stadium
  • Ben Usher-Shipway 13' goal
  • goal Dwayne Riley 51'
  • goal Bailey Hobson 70'
National League North Gameweek 39
Apr 23, 2022 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Dan Turner 75' goal
  • goal Conor Branson 44'
  • goal Jack Lane 64' (OG)