Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Radcliffe win with a probability of 48.77%. A win for Curzon Ashton had a probability of 27.35% and a draw had a probability of 23.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a Radcliffe win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.17%) and 0-2 (7.82%). The likeliest Curzon Ashton win was 2-1 (6.8%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.17%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.