National League North Gameweek 31
Apr 14, 2026 7.45pm
2
2
HT : 2 1
FT The Impact Arena
  • Adam Lund 40' goal
  • Kieran Burton 45' goal
  • goal Johnny Johnston 43'
  • yellowcard Luke Brennan 60'

Alfreton Town vs Buxton - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Alfreton Town

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Apr 11, 2026 3.00pm
Alfreton 1 - 1 Oxford City
Goals scored
45
Top scorer
J. Ayres

Buxton

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Apr 11, 2026 3.00pm
Buxton 2 - 0 Scarborough Ath
Goals scored
77
Top scorer
Johnny Johnston

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Buxton win with a probability of 47.08%. A win for Alfreton Town had a probability of 26.82% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Buxton win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.72%) and 0-2 (8.35%). The likeliest Alfreton Town win was 1-0 (7.96%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.

Result

Alfreton Town 26.82% (-0.47)
Draw 26.1%
Buxton 47.08% (+0.47)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.42% (-0.29)

Goals

Over 1.5 72.29% (-0.32)
Under 1.5 27.71% (+0.33)
Over 2.5 47.44% (-0.43)
Under 2.5 52.56% (+0.43)
Over 3.5 25.34% (-0.40)
Under 3.5 74.66% (+0.40)
Over 4.5 13.66% (-0.25)
Under 4.5 86.34% (+0.25)

First Half Winner

Alfreton Town 22.22% (-0.59)
Draw 43% (+0.21)
Buxton 34.79% (+0.40)

Team To Score First

Alfreton Town 35.4% (-1.49)
No Goal 7.93% (+0.05)
Buxton 56.67% (+1.45)

Corners

Over 8 57.79% (+0.93)
Equal 8 11.38% (-0.23)
Under 8 30.84% (-0.70)
Over 9 46.2% (+1.10)
Equal 9 11.59% (-0.16)
Under 9 42.21% (-0.94)
Over 10.5 35.35% (+1.15)
Under 10.5 64.65% (-1.15)

Alfreton Town Goals

Over 1.5 27.22% (-0.52)
Under 1.5 72.78% (+0.52)
Over 2.5 9.01% (-0.34)
Under 2.5 90.99% (+0.33)
Over 3.5 2.36% (-0.14)
Under 3.5 97.64% (+0.13)

Buxton Goals

Over 0.5 75.95% (+0.22)
Under 0.5 24.05% (-0.22)
Over 1.5 42.85%
Under 1.5 57.15%
Over 2.5 18.09% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 81.91% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 6.24% (-0.07)
Under 3.5 93.76% (+0.08)

Score analysis

Alfreton Town 26.83%
Draw 26.09%
Buxton 47.08%
Alfreton Town
1-0 @ 7.96% (-0.05)
2-1 @ 6.59% (-0.09)
2-0 @ 4.17% (-0.05)
3-1 @ 2.36% (-0.08)
3-2 @ 1.76% (-0.06)
3-0 @ 1.69% (-0.06)
Other @ 2.3% (-0.13)
Total : 26.83%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.33% (+0.06)
0-0 @ 7.93% (+0.05)
2-2 @ 4.93% (-0.08)
Other @ 0.06% (-0.02)
Total : 26.09%
Buxton
0-1 @ 11.82% (+0.32)
1-2 @ 9.72% (+0.06)
0-2 @ 8.35% (+0.10)
1-3 @ 4.39% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 4.1% (+0.06)
2-3 @ 2.52% (+0.03)
Other @ 6.18% (-0.07)
Total : 47.08%

Head to Head

National League North
Oct 25, 2025 3.00pm
6
0
HT : 0 0
FT
National League North Gameweek 45
Apr 21, 2025 3.00pm
3
2
HT : 2 0
FT The Impact Arena
  • Jed Abbey 16' goal
  • Gerry McDonagh 18' goal
  • Jed Abbey 71' goal
  • goal Luke Brennan 48'
  • goal Cian Coleman 52'
National League North Gameweek 23
Dec 26, 2024 3.00pm
3
2
HT : 3 2
FT The Silverlands
  • Kieran Burton 18' goal
  • Tom Elliott 28' goal
  • Ben Sault 45' goal
  • True Grant 70' yellowcard
  • goal Lewis Salmon 10'
  • goal Max Hunt 35'
  • yellowcard Adam Lund 40'
  • yellowcard Cosmos Matwasa 79'
National League North Gameweek 26
Jan 1, 2024 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 2
FT The Silverlands
  • Sam Minihan 48' goal
  • goal Adam Lund 6'
  • goal Liam Waldock 44'
National League North Gameweek 25
Dec 26, 2023 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT The Impact Arena
  • Jordan Thewlis 40' goal
  • Lewis Salmon 81' goal
  • goal Tom Elliott 27'
National League North Gameweek 26
Jan 1, 2023 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT The Silverlands