Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Buxton win with a probability of 38.92%. A win for Worksop Town had a probability of 36.06% and a draw had a probability of 25.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Buxton win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.64%) and 0-2 (5.75%). The likeliest Worksop Town win was 2-1 (8.19%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.