Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paksi SE win with a probability of 56.78%. A win for MTK had a probability of 22.78% and a draw had a probability of 20.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paksi SE win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.19%) and 3-1 (6.85%). The likeliest MTK win was 1-2 (5.77%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.75%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.