Hungarian NB I
Dec 6, 2025 at 5pm UK
 

3-1

Kovacs (20' og.), Bode (67', 69')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Polievka (55')
Coverage of the Hungarian NB I clash between Paksi SE and MTK.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Paksi SE 3-1 MTK
Saturday, December 6 at 5pm in Hungarian NB I
Next Game: Paksi SE vs. Nyiregyhaza
Saturday, December 20 at 5pm in Hungarian NB I
Last Game: MTK 3-4 Ujpest
Saturday, December 13 at 5pm in Hungarian NB I
Next Game: Zalaegerszegi TE vs. MTK
Saturday, December 20 at 5pm in Hungarian NB I

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paksi SE win with a probability of 56.78%. A win for MTK had a probability of 22.78% and a draw had a probability of 20.45%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paksi SE win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.19%) and 3-1 (6.85%). The likeliest MTK win was 1-2 (5.77%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.75%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.

Result
Paksi SEDrawMTK
56.78%20.45%22.78%
Both teams to score 64.88%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.67%32.33%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.06%53.95%
Paksi SE Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.56%11.44%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.75%36.25%
MTK Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.27%26.74%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38%62.01%
Score Analysis
    Paksi SE 56.78%
    MTK 22.78%
    Draw 20.45%
Paksi SEDrawMTK
2-1 @ 9.48%
2-0 @ 7.19%
3-1 @ 6.85%
1-0 @ 6.63%
3-0 @ 5.19%
3-2 @ 4.52%
4-1 @ 3.71%
4-0 @ 2.82%
4-2 @ 2.45%
5-1 @ 1.61%
5-0 @ 1.22%
4-3 @ 1.08%
5-2 @ 1.06%
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 56.78%
1-1 @ 8.75%
2-2 @ 6.26%
0-0 @ 3.06%
3-3 @ 1.99%
Other @ 0.4%
Total : 20.45%
1-2 @ 5.77%
0-1 @ 4.04%
2-3 @ 2.75%
0-2 @ 2.66%
1-3 @ 2.54%
0-3 @ 1.17%
2-4 @ 0.91%
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 22.78%

Head to Head
Aug 24, 2025 7pm
Apr 11, 2025 7.30pm
gameweek 27
MTK
1-2
Paksi SE
Bognar (75')
Gey (27'), Molnar (36'), Kosznovszky (39')
Vecsei (3'), Toth (37'), Bode (77')
Szabo (45+2')
Dec 7, 2024 6.15pm
gameweek 16
Paksi SE
4-2
MTK
Toth (8'), Bode (63', 66'), Windecker (73')
Kinyik (20'), Bor (55')
Jurina (15', 39')
Kata (7'), Antonov (27'), Molnar (32'), Kovacs (71'), Horvath (87')
Dec 3, 2024 6pm
gameweek 5
MTK
3-1
Paksi SE
Jurina (15'), Gey (68'), Varju (78')
Kata (45+1'), Varju (88')
Toth (17')
Vecsei (54')
Mar 3, 2024 1pm
gameweek 23
MTK
0-2
Paksi SE

Gey (2'), Kata (56')
Bode (72', 87')
Szabo (37'), Szabo (90+2')